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Make Tournament

67.2%

Automatic Bid

4.1%

At Large Bid

63.1%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.2%)

Final Four

3.1%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 98.7%
20 93.0%
19 79.1%
18 49.6%
17 19.5%
16 4.2%
15 0.3%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 67.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.2% 4.7%
2 3.2% 2.3%
3 4.7% 1.3%
4 5.2% 0.8%
5 5.3% 0.5%
6 6.5% 0.4%
7 7.9% 0.2%
8 8.2% 0.1%
9 7.8% 0.1%
10 7.0% 0.1%
11 6.1% 0.0%
12 3.9% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.