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Make Tournament

94.9%

Automatic Bid

21.1%

At Large Bid

73.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (18.2%)

Final Four

8.5%

NCAA Champs

1.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
17 97.3%
16 83.5%
15 41.6%
14 5.8%
OVERALL 94.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.6% 4.3%
2 16.0% 2.6%
3 18.2% 1.8%
4 15.9% 1.2%
5 12.6% 0.8%
6 9.6% 0.7%
7 6.9% 0.5%
8 4.8% 0.4%
9 3.1% 0.3%
10 1.8% 0.3%
11 1.0% 0.2%
12 0.3% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.