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Make Tournament

76.1%

Automatic Bid

9.0%

At Large Bid

67.1%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (13.1%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.5%
21 92.8%
20 71.4%
19 33.0%
18 6.7%
17 0.5%
OVERALL 76.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.5% 0.2%
5 5.0% 0.1%
6 8.1% 0.1%
7 11.1% 0.1%
8 13.0% 0.0%
9 13.1% 0.0%
10 11.2% 0.0%
11 7.7% 0.0%
12 3.2% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.