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Make Tournament

87.4%

Automatic Bid

7.1%

At Large Bid

80.3%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (14.0%)

Final Four

10.4%

NCAA Champs

2.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 98.9%
20 91.0%
19 66.2%
18 26.2%
17 6.5%
16 2.5%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 87.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 10.9% 8.0%
2 14.0% 3.7%
3 13.7% 2.0%
4 12.5% 1.1%
5 10.1% 0.7%
6 7.5% 0.5%
7 6.0% 0.4%
8 5.1% 0.2%
9 3.8% 0.1%
10 2.4% 0.1%
11 1.1% 0.0%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.