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Make Tournament

78.9%

Automatic Bid

1.8%

At Large Bid

77.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (11.1%)

Final Four

3.3%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.5%
22 89.8%
21 56.5%
20 13.3%
19 1.0%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 78.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 1.6%
2 2.7% 1.0%
3 6.4% 0.7%
4 9.7% 0.5%
5 11.1% 0.4%
6 10.7% 0.3%
7 9.6% 0.2%
8 8.6% 0.2%
9 7.2% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 3.9% 0.1%
12 2.5% 0.1%
13 0.7% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.