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Make Tournament

17.4%

Automatic Bid

9.6%

At Large Bid

7.8%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (3.8%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 98.7%
25 95.3%
24 76.9%
23 58.2%
22 35.5%
21 17.7%
20 13.6%
19 7.7%
18 5.3%
17 3.2%
16 1.4%
15 0.4%
14 0.3%
OVERALL 17.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.3% 0.0%
7 0.5% 0.0%
8 0.6% 0.0%
9 0.9% 0.0%
10 1.4% 0.0%
11 2.3% 0.0%
12 3.8% 0.0%
13 3.5% 0.0%
14 2.4% 0.0%
15 1.0% 0.0%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.