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Make Tournament

61.4%

Automatic Bid

6.9%

At Large Bid

54.5%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (8.2%)

Final Four

5.0%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 98.1%
20 88.9%
19 62.3%
18 27.3%
17 5.0%
16 0.5%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 61.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.8% 5.1%
2 4.5% 3.0%
3 6.6% 1.7%
4 7.7% 1.0%
5 7.5% 0.6%
6 7.3% 0.5%
7 8.2% 0.4%
8 7.7% 0.2%
9 5.5% 0.1%
10 3.0% 0.1%
11 1.3% 0.0%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.