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Make Tournament

99.0%

Automatic Bid

11.9%

At Large Bid

87.2%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (20.5%)

Final Four

11.9%

NCAA Champs

2.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 99.8%
16 96.0%
15 46.0%
14 3.2%
OVERALL 99.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.9% 5.4%
2 19.3% 3.6%
3 20.5% 2.6%
4 16.5% 1.8%
5 12.1% 1.4%
6 8.6% 1.1%
7 5.9% 0.9%
8 4.0% 0.7%
9 2.6% 0.6%
10 1.5% 0.6%
11 0.8% 0.5%
12 0.3% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.