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Make Tournament

77.1%

Automatic Bid

5.1%

At Large Bid

71.9%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (8.2%)

Final Four

5.6%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.6%
19 97.5%
18 87.5%
17 47.2%
16 4.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 77.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.6% 7.7%
2 5.7% 3.7%
3 7.1% 2.1%
4 7.9% 1.2%
5 8.2% 0.7%
6 8.1% 0.4%
7 8.0% 0.2%
8 7.8% 0.1%
9 7.3% 0.1%
10 6.6% 0.0%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 1.4% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.