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Make Tournament

77.4%

Automatic Bid

3.0%

At Large Bid

74.5%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (9.8%)

Final Four

2.0%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 98.7%
20 94.2%
19 79.6%
18 43.8%
17 3.5%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 77.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 1.7%
2 2.0% 1.1%
3 3.7% 0.7%
4 5.2% 0.5%
5 6.5% 0.3%
6 7.6% 0.2%
7 8.4% 0.1%
8 9.1% 0.1%
9 9.6% 0.1%
10 9.8% 0.1%
11 9.4% 0.0%
12 5.4% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.