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Make Tournament

44.5%

Automatic Bid

2.9%

At Large Bid

41.5%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (6.6%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.8%
21 99.2%
20 95.1%
19 80.7%
18 55.2%
17 27.7%
16 8.2%
15 1.3%
14 0.3%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 44.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.5% 1.8%
3 1.4% 1.2%
4 2.5% 0.6%
5 3.3% 0.3%
6 3.4% 0.2%
7 3.9% 0.2%
8 4.7% 0.1%
9 5.6% 0.1%
10 6.1% 0.1%
11 6.6% 0.0%
12 5.7% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.