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Make Tournament

83.7%

Automatic Bid

3.3%

At Large Bid

80.4%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (9.8%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.5%
19 97.3%
18 84.1%
17 51.2%
16 16.9%
15 1.1%
OVERALL 83.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.9% 2.4%
2 2.4% 1.2%
3 4.2% 0.7%
4 6.0% 0.5%
5 7.3% 0.3%
6 8.2% 0.2%
7 8.9% 0.1%
8 9.4% 0.1%
9 9.7% 0.1%
10 9.8% 0.1%
11 9.6% 0.0%
12 6.7% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.