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Make Tournament

53.7%

Automatic Bid

5.2%

At Large Bid

48.4%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (7.7%)

Final Four

2.7%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.4%
21 96.4%
20 87.0%
19 61.4%
18 36.7%
17 12.4%
16 2.2%
15 0.4%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 53.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 4.9%
2 1.4% 2.6%
3 2.6% 1.6%
4 3.5% 1.0%
5 4.2% 0.6%
6 6.0% 0.4%
7 7.3% 0.3%
8 7.7% 0.2%
9 7.3% 0.1%
10 6.2% 0.1%
11 4.7% 0.0%
12 2.1% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.