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Make Tournament

94.0%

Automatic Bid

12.3%

At Large Bid

81.6%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (14.7%)

Final Four

8.7%

NCAA Champs

1.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 98.6%
19 89.6%
18 55.4%
17 14.3%
16 1.6%
15 0.1%
OVERALL 94.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.2% 4.7%
2 7.1% 3.1%
3 12.5% 2.1%
4 14.7% 1.6%
5 14.1% 1.2%
6 11.8% 1.1%
7 9.6% 0.9%
8 7.6% 0.6%
9 5.8% 0.5%
10 4.2% 0.5%
11 2.9% 0.5%
12 1.8% 0.4%
13 0.4% 0.3%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.