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Make Tournament

80.1%

Automatic Bid

10.7%

At Large Bid

69.4%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (10.9%)

Final Four

8.1%

NCAA Champs

1.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 98.8%
20 92.6%
19 72.5%
18 34.4%
17 8.6%
16 1.2%
15 0.1%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 80.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.5% 6.2%
2 6.9% 4.0%
3 8.2% 2.7%
4 9.5% 1.8%
5 10.9% 1.3%
6 10.6% 1.0%
7 6.3% 0.7%
8 4.2% 0.5%
9 4.2% 0.5%
10 4.5% 0.4%
11 4.7% 0.3%
12 4.6% 0.3%
13 1.8% 0.2%
14 0.3% 0.2%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.