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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

17.3%

At Large Bid

82.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (44.6%)

Final Four

23.1%

NCAA Champs

5.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 16.4% 7.8%
2 44.6% 6.2%
3 23.5% 4.9%
4 9.7% 3.9%
5 4.0% 2.7%
6 1.4% 2.8%
7 0.4% 1.9%
8 0.1% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.