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Make Tournament

99.8%

Automatic Bid

22.2%

At Large Bid

77.7%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (40.6%)

Final Four

20.8%

NCAA Champs

5.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.0%
19 96.1%
18 74.9%
17 29.7%
16 11.7%
OVERALL 99.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 40.6% 9.3%
2 23.4% 4.7%
3 13.7% 3.1%
4 8.4% 2.2%
5 5.2% 1.5%
6 3.3% 1.0%
7 2.1% 0.8%
8 1.3% 0.5%
9 0.8% 0.4%
10 0.5% 0.4%
11 0.3% 0.3%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.