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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

41.5%

At Large Bid

58.5%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (55.1%)

Final Four

32.8%

NCAA Champs

11.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.9%
21 99.8%
20 96.9%
19 86.2%
18 66.9%
17 20.1%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 55.1% 15.8%
2 20.6% 8.5%
3 10.2% 5.4%
4 5.8% 4.1%
5 3.5% 3.1%
6 2.1% 2.1%
7 1.2% 1.5%
8 0.7% 1.4%
9 0.4% 1.0%
10 0.2% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 11.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.