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Make Tournament

50.8%

Automatic Bid

3.0%

At Large Bid

47.8%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (7.1%)

Final Four

2.5%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 99.6%
23 97.1%
22 84.9%
21 64.5%
20 31.9%
19 9.9%
18 1.4%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 50.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.9% 3.2%
2 2.1% 2.1%
3 2.8% 1.0%
4 2.9% 0.7%
5 3.6% 0.6%
6 5.6% 0.4%
7 6.9% 0.2%
8 7.1% 0.1%
9 6.6% 0.1%
10 5.7% 0.1%
11 4.2% 0.0%
12 2.1% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.