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Make Tournament

44.9%

Automatic Bid

5.7%

At Large Bid

39.2%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (5.7%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.6%
22 95.6%
21 81.1%
20 53.1%
19 22.0%
18 5.1%
17 0.8%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 44.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.0%
2 1.1% 0.5%
3 2.2% 0.3%
4 3.3% 0.2%
5 4.3% 0.1%
6 4.6% 0.1%
7 4.7% 0.1%
8 5.4% 0.1%
9 5.7% 0.1%
10 5.3% 0.0%
11 4.4% 0.0%
12 3.0% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.