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Make Tournament

46.1%

Automatic Bid

5.2%

At Large Bid

40.9%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (6.7%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 97.9%
20 87.7%
19 60.3%
18 25.4%
17 5.9%
16 0.7%
15 0.2%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 46.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.2%
2 0.9% 0.5%
3 1.5% 0.3%
4 1.8% 0.2%
5 1.9% 0.2%
6 2.3% 0.1%
7 3.9% 0.1%
8 5.2% 0.1%
9 5.9% 0.1%
10 6.3% 0.1%
11 6.7% 0.0%
12 6.7% 0.0%
13 2.4% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.