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Make Tournament

92.5%

Automatic Bid

26.6%

At Large Bid

65.8%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (15.0%)

Final Four

9.4%

NCAA Champs

1.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.8%
19 98.2%
18 89.9%
17 61.6%
16 20.7%
15 1.6%
OVERALL 92.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.9% 5.0%
2 6.1% 4.3%
3 11.7% 3.1%
4 14.7% 2.2%
5 15.0% 1.7%
6 13.4% 1.4%
7 10.8% 1.1%
8 8.1% 0.8%
9 5.6% 0.6%
10 3.5% 0.7%
11 1.9% 0.5%
12 0.7% 0.4%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.