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Make Tournament

65.3%

Automatic Bid

13.7%

At Large Bid

51.5%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.0%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.7%
21 97.0%
20 81.1%
19 40.8%
18 7.3%
17 0.6%
16 0.7%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 65.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.1%
2 1.4% 0.6%
3 3.2% 0.4%
4 5.2% 0.2%
5 7.2% 0.2%
6 8.0% 0.1%
7 6.3% 0.1%
8 5.4% 0.1%
9 5.7% 0.1%
10 6.1% 0.1%
11 6.4% 0.0%
12 6.5% 0.0%
13 2.8% 0.0%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.