View Arizona bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

40.0%

Automatic Bid

8.4%

At Large Bid

31.6%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (5.0%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.0%
22 90.3%
21 67.9%
20 34.2%
19 10.8%
18 2.2%
17 0.6%
16 0.4%
15 0.4%
OVERALL 40.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.1%
2 0.7% 0.8%
3 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.5% 0.2%
5 3.4% 0.1%
6 3.7% 0.1%
7 3.8% 0.1%
8 4.2% 0.0%
9 4.6% 0.0%
10 5.0% 0.0%
11 5.0% 0.0%
12 3.9% 0.0%
13 1.0% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.