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Make Tournament

99.5%

Automatic Bid

46.2%

At Large Bid

53.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (32.8%)

Final Four

27.3%

NCAA Champs

8.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.6%
24 96.5%
23 94.1%
22 78.0%
21 35.2%
20 9.7%
19 0.2%
18 3.7%
OVERALL 99.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 32.8% 14.8%
2 24.8% 8.4%
3 16.6% 5.8%
4 10.4% 4.2%
5 6.5% 2.8%
6 3.9% 2.2%
7 2.2% 1.6%
8 1.2% 1.0%
9 0.6% 0.9%
10 0.3% 0.7%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 8.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.