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Make Tournament

89.7%

Automatic Bid

35.2%

At Large Bid

54.4%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (20.0%)

Final Four

8.6%

NCAA Champs

1.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 89.9%
22 84.7%
21 63.8%
OVERALL 89.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.2% -
4 1.4% 2.3%
5 5.7% 2.2%
6 13.0% 2.1%
7 19.0% 1.9%
8 20.0% 1.7%
9 15.8% 1.6%
10 9.3% 1.7%
11 4.0% 1.7%
12 1.2% 1.3%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.