More Teams...
View Arizona bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

96.7%

Automatic Bid

29.1%

At Large Bid

67.6%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (16.6%)

Final Four

11.4%

NCAA Champs

2.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.3%
23 97.2%
22 90.6%
21 70.9%
20 45.2%
19 17.1%
18 4.1%
17 0.8%
OVERALL 96.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 7.1% 7.8%
2 14.7% 4.9%
3 16.6% 3.1%
4 15.4% 2.1%
5 12.8% 1.4%
6 9.9% 1.0%
7 7.3% 0.7%
8 5.3% 0.5%
9 3.6% 0.4%
10 2.3% 0.4%
11 1.2% 0.3%
12 0.4% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.