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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

40.2%

At Large Bid

59.7%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (27.0%)

Final Four

16.5%

NCAA Champs

4.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.2%
20 92.8%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.1% 6.6%
2 14.2% 5.4%
3 25.3% 4.8%
4 27.0% 3.9%
5 18.0% 3.3%
6 7.9% 2.6%
7 3.1% 2.5%
8 1.3% 2.0%
9 0.6% 1.8%
10 0.3% 1.6%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.