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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

42.8%

At Large Bid

56.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (24.8%)

Final Four

21.7%

NCAA Champs

6.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.8%
22 94.6%
21 76.0%
20 48.9%
19 13.3%
18 0.3%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 24.3% 11.0%
2 24.8% 6.9%
3 17.5% 5.0%
4 12.2% 3.8%
5 8.5% 2.7%
6 5.3% 2.1%
7 2.6% 1.7%
8 1.4% 1.3%
9 1.1% 1.1%
10 0.8% 1.1%
11 0.6% 0.9%
12 0.4% 0.6%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.