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Football premium packages for 2015-16 are now on sale: Pick'em · Survivor · Betting
Sports predictions & data
Football premium packages for 2015-16 are now on sale: Pick'em · Survivor · Betting

Basketball Bracketology Trends 2015

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Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Odds To Get An NCAA Bid

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Wyoming 100.0% 24.4% 75.6%
Hampton 100.0% 52.1% 47.9%
Harvard 100.0% 53.9% 46.1%
UC Irvine 100.0% 59.6% 40.4%
UAB 100.0% 61.9% 38.1%
Albany 100.0% 62.9% 37.1%
TX Southern 100.0% 62.9% 37.1%
Ste F Austin 100.0% 66.8% 33.2%
E Washingtn 100.0% 71.0% 29.0%
Georgia St 74.6% 52.3% 22.3%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Yale 1.1% 52.0% -51.0%
Central Mich 0.3% 42.5% -42.3%
Sam Hous St 0.0% 38.9% -38.9%
Rhode Island 1.2% 27.0% -25.8%
San Diego St 88.7% 98.7% -10.0%
UCLA 64.4% 73.3% -8.9%
Purdue 79.6% 86.4% -6.8%
Georgia 90.3% 94.4% -4.1%
Davidson 94.3% 97.8% -3.5%
Tulsa 94.1% 97.5% -3.4%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Hampton 100.0% 2.9% 97.1%
Wyoming 100.0% 5.5% 94.5%
UAB 100.0% 12.7% 87.3%
Lafayette 100.0% 16.6% 83.4%
Manhattan 100.0% 19.3% 80.7%
N Dakota St 100.0% 21.3% 78.7%
UC Irvine 100.0% 23.8% 76.2%
Northeastrn 100.0% 25.6% 74.4%
Rob Morris 100.0% 31.9% 68.1%
TX Southern 100.0% 36.8% 63.2%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Iona 10.8% 63.0% -52.2%
S Dakota St 0.0% 50.9% -50.9%
Yale 1.1% 50.8% -49.8%
WI-Grn Bay 0.7% 43.1% -42.4%
Sam Hous St 0.0% 37.4% -37.4%
Texas A&M 3.4% 38.2% -34.8%
Old Dominion 1.2% 34.3% -33.2%
Illinois St 1.0% 33.6% -32.6%
LA Tech 0.2% 29.4% -29.2%
Wm & Mary 0.0% 28.5% -28.5%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Hampton 100.0% 3.6% 96.4%
Wyoming 100.0% 5.9% 94.1%
Lafayette 100.0% 6.3% 93.7%
Manhattan 100.0% 8.0% 92.0%
Belmont 100.0% 12.6% 87.4%
UAB 100.0% 14.1% 85.9%
N Dakota St 100.0% 15.0% 85.0%
Rob Morris 100.0% 16.7% 83.3%
Northeastrn 100.0% 21.4% 78.6%
UC Irvine 100.0% 25.1% 74.9%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Texas A&M 3.4% 73.8% -70.4%
Iona 10.8% 73.5% -62.7%
Indiana 18.0% 75.5% -57.5%
Murray St 0.7% 55.0% -54.3%
Illinois 1.0% 54.3% -53.2%
Stanford 2.1% 51.1% -49.0%
Pittsburgh 1.0% 45.4% -44.4%
Sam Hous St 0.0% 42.5% -42.5%
S Dakota St 0.0% 42.5% -42.5%
Mississippi 47.2% 89.2% -42.0%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Wyoming 100.0% 24.4% 75.6%
Notre Dame 100.0% 37.4% 62.6%
Iowa State 100.0% 46.9% 53.1%
Harvard 100.0% 50.9% 49.1%
Hampton 100.0% 52.1% 47.9%
UC Irvine 100.0% 59.6% 40.4%
Buffalo 100.0% 60.8% 39.2%
Ste F Austin 100.0% 61.1% 38.9%
UAB 100.0% 61.9% 38.1%
Albany 100.0% 62.9% 37.1%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Maryland 3.1% 7.6% -4.6%
Ohio State 15.1% 18.0% -2.9%
Kentucky 89.3% 89.5% -0.2%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Hampton 100.0% 2.9% 97.1%
Wyoming 100.0% 5.5% 94.5%
Notre Dame 100.0% 8.4% 91.6%
UAB 100.0% 12.7% 87.3%
Lafayette 100.0% 16.6% 83.4%
Iowa State 100.0% 17.4% 82.6%
Manhattan 100.0% 19.3% 80.7%
N Dakota St 100.0% 21.3% 78.7%
UC Irvine 100.0% 23.8% 76.2%
Northeastrn 100.0% 25.6% 74.4%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Ohio State 15.1% 22.8% -7.7%
Maryland 3.1% 5.1% -2.0%
Michigan St 10.9% 10.2% 0.6%
Arkansas 10.7% 6.7% 4.0%
GA Southern 25.6% 19.5% 6.0%
Kentucky 89.3% 78.5% 10.7%
S Methodist 47.4% 33.5% 14.0%
Georgia St 74.4% 55.7% 18.7%
Dayton 40.5% 18.2% 22.2%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Hampton 100.0% 3.6% 96.4%
Wyoming 100.0% 4.7% 95.3%
Lafayette 100.0% 6.3% 93.7%
Manhattan 100.0% 8.0% 92.0%
Notre Dame 100.0% 8.1% 91.9%
Belmont 100.0% 12.6% 87.4%
UAB 100.0% 14.1% 85.9%
N Dakota St 100.0% 15.0% 85.0%
Rob Morris 100.0% 16.7% 83.3%
Iowa State 100.0% 19.6% 80.4%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Ohio State 15.1% 27.2% -12.1%
Maryland 3.1% 4.4% -1.4%
Michigan St 10.9% 9.9% 0.9%
Arkansas 10.7% 5.7% 5.1%
Kentucky 89.3% 80.8% 8.5%
GA Southern 25.6% 13.1% 12.5%
S Methodist 47.4% 32.1% 15.3%
Georgia St 74.4% 57.7% 16.7%
Harvard 100.0% 78.7% 21.3%
Connecticut 52.6% 27.0% 25.5%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Wisconsin 54.0% 50.7% 3.3%
Villanova 80.8% 79.3% 1.5%
Duke 46.9% 46.3% 0.6%
Kentucky 98.6% 98.5% 0.1%
Gonzaga 1.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Iowa State 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Arizona 71.1% 74.9% -3.7%
Virginia 45.2% 46.3% -1.2%
Kansas 1.9% 2.7% -0.8%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Wisconsin 54.0% 36.7% 17.2%
Arizona 71.1% 63.3% 7.8%
Villanova 80.8% 79.7% 1.2%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Duke 46.9% 60.5% -13.6%
Virginia 45.2% 56.0% -10.8%
Kansas 1.9% 3.3% -1.4%
Gonzaga 1.1% 1.4% -0.3%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 71.1% 37.7% 33.5%
Villanova 80.8% 50.3% 30.6%
Wisconsin 54.0% 46.5% 7.5%
Kentucky 98.6% 98.2% 0.4%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Virginia 45.2% 78.6% -33.5%
Gonzaga 1.1% 20.1% -19.1%
Kansas 1.9% 12.2% -10.2%
Duke 46.9% 52.2% -5.3%
Iowa State 0.3% 2.2% -1.9%
Utah 0.0% 1.0% -1.0%
Oklahoma 0.1% 0.7% -0.6%

Projected Avg. Seed

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Dayton 9.0 9.4 -0.4
VCU 8.5 8.8 -0.3
Illinois 11.4 11.6 -0.2
Notre Dame 3.4 3.7 -0.2
St Marys 11.5 11.7 -0.2
S Methodist 5.6 5.8 -0.2
Indiana 11.6 11.8 -0.2
Iowa State 2.9 3.0 -0.2
Arkansas 5.2 5.4 -0.2
Colorado St 10.1 10.3 -0.2

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Rhode Island 11.8 11.4 0.4
San Diego St 9.9 9.6 0.4
Davidson 8.6 8.2 0.4
Central Mich 12.2 11.9 0.3
Belmont 14.7 14.4 0.3
N Carolina 6.6 6.3 0.3
Coastal Car 15.2 14.9 0.3
Yale 12.3 12.0 0.3
Lafayette 14.4 14.2 0.2
Geo Wshgtn 13.0 12.8 0.2

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Michigan St 6.4 7.4 -1.0
S Methodist 5.6 6.2 -0.6
Oregon 6.9 7.4 -0.5
Maryland 3.8 4.2 -0.4
Xavier 7.3 7.6 -0.4
Dayton 9.0 9.4 -0.3
Arkansas 5.2 5.6 -0.3
Notre Dame 3.4 3.8 -0.3
Cincinnati 6.7 7.1 -0.3
VCU 8.5 8.9 -0.3

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Ohio State 10.1 7.9 2.2
Memphis 13.5 12.6 1.0
Geo Wshgtn 13.0 12.2 0.8
Alabama 13.3 12.6 0.7
Old Dominion 11.6 10.9 0.7
Michigan 13.1 12.5 0.6
Louisville 5.3 4.7 0.6
Kansas St 12.1 11.5 0.6
WI-Grn Bay 12.6 12.0 0.5
Tennessee 12.7 12.2 0.5

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Oregon 6.9 9.9 -3.0
Maryland 3.8 5.7 -1.9
Iowa 7.3 9.0 -1.7
NC State 8.4 10.0 -1.6
St Johns 8.0 9.5 -1.5
BYU 9.4 10.9 -1.4
Davidson 8.6 10.0 -1.4
Michigan St 6.4 7.6 -1.2
Cincinnati 6.7 7.8 -1.1
LSU 6.3 7.4 -1.1

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Ohio State 10.1 6.6 3.5
VCU 8.5 5.5 3.0
Stanford 11.7 9.3 2.5
Illinois 11.4 8.9 2.5
Texas A&M 11.5 9.1 2.4
San Diego St 9.9 7.7 2.3
Utah 5.5 3.3 2.2
Pittsburgh 11.3 9.3 2.0
Indiana 11.6 9.7 1.8
Rhode Island 11.8 10.0 1.8