New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico St vs. Fresno St: Recap
Saturday Dec 16, 2023 5:45 pm -
Albuquerque, NM
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
New Mexico State by 3,
Total Points:
52.5
Matchup Menu: NMSU vs. FRES
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico St | NMSU | 56.9% | ||
| FRES | 43.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES +3.0 | NMSU | 48.3% | ||
| FRES | 51.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.5 | Over | 47.9% | ||
| Under | 52.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES +140 | NMSU | -5.3% | ||
| FRES | +1.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 27.4 | 27 | 27.8 | 10 |
| FRES | 24.6 | 24 | 24.8 | 37 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.458 |
| Rush Play % | 44.41% | 50.13% |
| Pass Play % | 55.59% | 49.87% |
| Completion % | 54.65% | 64.77% |
| 3D Conv % | 38.46% | 36.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 90.91% | 79.17% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.393 | 0.288 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.67% | 63.24% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.89% | 34.21% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 83.33% |