Birmingham Bowl: Troy vs. Duke: Recap
Saturday Dec 23, 2023 12:00 pm -
Birmingham, AL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Troy by 6.5,
Total Points:
44
Matchup Menu: TROY vs. DUKE
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | TROY | 68.7% | ||
| DUKE | 31.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE +6.5 | TROY | 49.7% | ||
| DUKE | 50.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Over | 50.8% | ||
| Under | 49.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TROY | -3.5% | ||
| DUKE | -0.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 25.3 | 24 | 25.2 | 10 |
| DUKE | 18.9 | 20 | 18.8 | 17 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TROY | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.382 |
| Rush Play % | 56.03% | 58.66% |
| Pass Play % | 43.97% | 41.34% |
| Completion % | 57.94% | 58.62% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.37% | 43.64% |
| RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 78.95% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TROY | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.264 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.16% | 63.64% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 31.82% | 29.79% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 62.50% | 87.50% |