Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.2
Villanova (11-0)
27.4 3.6 100.0% 12.7%
2 21.3 27.0 4.0 99.6% 10.1%
3 20.9
Duke (11-1)
25.9 5.1 99.9% 8.7%
4 20.6
Kansas (7-2)
23.6 7.4 97.8% 7.9%
5 20.6 26.2 3.8 99.9% 8.4%
6 20.4
Purdue (10-2)
25.5 5.5 99.4% 7.2%
7 19.1
Xavier (9-1)
24.8 6.2 98.9% 4.9%
8 19.0 23.7 7.3 98.6% 4.6%
9 18.6
Virginia (8-1)
23.8 6.2 98.0% 4.3%
10 18.3 24.5 7.5 93.7% 3.6%
11 18.2
Gonzaga (8-2)
27.0 4.0 99.2% 3.4%
12 17.3 24.7 6.3 95.2% 2.4%
13 17.1
Texas A&M (9-1)
23.5 7.5 96.1% 2.3%
14 16.4 21.7 6.3 86.9% 1.6%
15 16.2 23.1 7.9 92.7% 1.6%
16 16.2
Florida (6-3)
21.4 9.6 87.3% 1.5%
17 16.0
Arizona (7-3)
24.0 7.0 97.0% 1.6%
18 15.4
Creighton (8-2)
21.8 9.2 80.6% 0.9%
19 15.3
Arkansas (7-2)
22.2 8.8 85.5% 1.1%
20 15.2 21.8 9.2 77.3% 0.9%
21 15.1 22.4 8.6 82.2% 0.9%
22 14.9
Baylor (8-2)
19.9 11.1 66.2% 0.7%
23 14.6 20.5 10.5 70.3% 0.6%
24 14.5 20.9 10.1 60.6% 0.6%
25 14.5
Kentucky (8-1)
20.9 10.1 78.2% 0.7%
26 14.4 21.8 8.2 72.0% 0.6%
27 14.3
VA Tech (9-1)
20.9 10.1 55.1% 0.5%
28 13.8
Texas (6-3)
18.1 12.9 54.2% 0.4%
29 13.5
Tennessee (7-1)
20.3 9.7 76.6% 0.5%
30 13.2
Missouri (8-2)
20.8 10.2 67.9% 0.4%
31 13.2 24.6 5.4 91.9% 0.5%
32 13.1
Nevada (8-2)
25.6 6.4 91.0% 0.4%
33 13.0
Minnesota (9-3)
20.6 10.4 39.0% 0.2%
34 12.8
Michigan (9-3)
20.6 10.4 48.2% 0.2%
35 12.8
Oklahoma (7-1)
17.4 12.6 47.3% 0.2%

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