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Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.6
Gonzaga (37-2)
32.0 1.0 100.0% 14.9%
2 22.0
N Carolina (33-7)
27.0 7.0 100.0% 8.5%
3 21.6
Villanova (32-4)
31.0 3.0 100.0% 12.8%
4 20.9
Kansas (31-5)
28.0 4.0 100.0% 6.8%
5 20.8
Kentucky (32-6)
28.0 5.0 100.0% 7.5%
6 20.5
W Virginia (28-9)
26.0 8.0 100.0% 5.6%
7 19.6
Duke (28-9)
27.0 8.0 100.0% 8.6%
8 19.5
Florida (27-9)
24.0 8.0 100.0% 3.5%
9 19.1
Louisville (25-9)
24.0 8.0 100.0% 3.5%
10 18.6
Oregon (33-6)
29.0 5.0 100.0% 2.9%
11 18.4
Virginia (23-11)
22.0 10.0 100.0% 3.2%
12 18.3
UCLA (31-5)
29.0 4.0 100.0% 2.5%
13 18.0
Wichita St (31-5)
30.0 4.0 100.0% 1.9%
14 17.5
Purdue (27-8)
25.0 7.0 100.0% 2.3%
15 17.0
Wisconsin (27-10)
25.0 8.0 99.9% 1.4%
16 16.8
Iowa State (24-11)
23.0 10.0 100.0% 1.5%
17 16.6
Baylor (27-8)
25.0 7.0 100.0% 1.9%
18 16.5
Arizona (32-5)
30.0 4.0 100.0% 2.1%
19 16.4
29.0 4.0 100.0% 1.2%
20 16.2
Cincinnati (30-6)
29.0 4.0 100.0% 1.4%
21 15.8
Michigan (26-12)
23.0 11.0 98.9% 0.6%
22 15.6
Florida St (26-9)
25.0 8.0 100.0% 1.4%
23 15.6
St Marys (29-5)
28.0 4.0 99.9% 0.5%
24 15.3
Butler (25-9)
23.0 8.0 100.0% 0.9%
25 14.8
Oklahoma St (20-13)
20.0 12.0 71.8% 0.2%
26 14.6
Notre Dame (26-10)
25.0 9.0 100.0% 0.6%
27 14.5
Creighton (25-10)
25.0 9.0 99.8% 0.4%
28 13.6
S Carolina (26-11)
22.0 10.0 93.2% 0.1%
29 13.1
Xavier (24-14)
21.0 13.0 96.3% 0.1%
30 12.7
Marquette (19-13)
19.0 12.0 78.3% 0.1%
31 12.6
Indiana (18-16)
18.0 15.0 0.2% 0.0%
32 12.4
Syracuse (19-15)
18.0 14.0 4.0% 0.0%
33 12.2
Kansas St (21-14)
20.0 13.0 31.3% 0.0%
34 12.2
Miami (FL) (21-12)
21.0 11.0 96.0% 0.1%
35 12.1
Rhode Island (25-10)
23.0 9.0 96.5% 0.1%

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