Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.6
25.7 5.3 99.9% 9.0%
2 19.4
Villanova (20-3)
26.8 4.2 100.0% 9.3%
3 19.2
Louisville (19-5)
23.4 7.6 0.0% 0.0%
4 19.1
N Carolina (19-4)
24.5 6.5 99.9% 7.6%
5 19.1
Kansas (19-4)
24.5 6.5 100.0% 8.1%
6 19.0
W Virginia (19-4)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 7.3%
7 18.8
Duke (18-6)
22.4 8.6 98.9% 6.1%
8 18.1
Oklahoma (20-3)
24.8 5.2 100.0% 6.0%
9 18.1
Virginia (19-4)
23.4 6.6 100.0% 5.8%
10 17.8
Purdue (19-5)
23.7 7.3 98.3% 4.2%
11 17.4
Iowa (19-4)
23.9 6.1 100.0% 4.5%
12 17.0
Maryland (21-3)
26.1 4.9 100.0% 4.0%
13 17.0
Miami (FL) (18-4)
23.0 7.0 99.7% 3.8%
14 16.6
Indiana (19-5)
23.1 7.9 91.9% 2.4%
15 16.5
25.8 4.2 0.0% 0.0%
16 16.5
Arizona (19-5)
24.4 6.6 97.1% 2.7%
17 16.0
Kentucky (17-6)
22.3 8.7 97.9% 2.4%
18 15.3
Xavier (21-2)
25.2 4.8 100.0% 2.1%
19 15.1
Texas A&M (18-5)
24.1 6.9 97.1% 1.7%
20 15.0
Iowa State (17-6)
21.8 9.2 99.2% 1.6%
21 14.7
Vanderbilt (13-10)
18.6 12.4 56.5% 0.7%
22 14.6
22.5 8.5 91.8% 1.0%
23 14.4
Butler (16-7)
20.3 9.7 63.9% 0.7%
24 14.3
Gonzaga (19-5)
23.4 6.6 78.2% 0.7%
25 14.2
Florida (15-8)
20.5 10.5 86.8% 0.8%
26 14.1
Cincinnati (17-7)
22.1 8.9 86.2% 0.7%
27 14.0
Wichita St (17-6)
23.3 6.7 96.7% 0.8%
28 13.3
Notre Dame (17-7)
20.3 9.7 91.2% 0.5%
29 13.2
Oregon (20-4)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 0.9%
30 13.2
Texas (16-8)
19.3 11.7 93.1% 0.6%
31 13.1
Pittsburgh (17-5)
20.7 9.3 58.2% 0.4%
32 13.1
Baylor (17-6)
21.0 10.0 81.8% 0.4%
33 12.9
Michigan (17-7)
20.7 10.3 64.3% 0.3%
34 12.3
VCU (17-6)
22.9 8.1 89.0% 0.3%
35 12.2
Valparaiso (20-4)
26.1 4.9 93.9% 0.3%

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