Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.7
Kentucky (16-2)
27.4 3.6 100.0% 16.1%
2 22.5
N Carolina (17-3)
26.1 5.9 100.0% 11.4%
3 22.1
W Virginia (15-3)
24.9 6.1 99.8% 10.0%
4 21.8
Villanova (18-1)
27.8 3.2 100.0% 9.6%
5 21.4
Kansas (17-1)
26.0 5.0 100.0% 8.3%
6 21.0
Duke (14-4)
23.2 7.8 98.7% 6.4%
7 20.4
Gonzaga (17-0)
29.0 1.0 100.0% 6.4%
8 19.8
Virginia (14-3)
22.6 7.4 99.4% 4.5%
9 19.0
Louisville (15-3)
24.0 7.0 99.8% 3.4%
10 18.7
UCLA (18-1)
28.0 3.0 100.0% 3.4%
11 18.4
Wisconsin (15-3)
25.2 5.8 99.1% 2.7%
12 18.0
Purdue (15-4)
23.7 7.3 98.2% 2.1%
13 17.5
Baylor (17-1)
25.1 5.9 99.9% 2.1%
14 17.1
Oregon (16-2)
25.7 5.3 99.7% 1.7%
15 17.1
Florida (14-4)
23.3 7.7 99.8% 1.6%
16 16.5
Creighton (18-1)
26.3 4.7 99.9% 1.4%
17 16.4
Butler (16-3)
23.5 6.5 100.0% 1.4%
18 16.3
Cincinnati (16-2)
26.8 4.2 99.9% 1.3%
19 16.2
Florida St (17-2)
24.3 6.7 99.5% 1.1%
20 16.2
Arizona (16-2)
25.7 5.3 99.8% 1.1%
21 15.4
Iowa State (11-6)
18.1 11.9 60.0% 0.4%
22 15.3
Indiana (13-6)
20.0 11.0 74.7% 0.4%
23 15.2
Xavier (13-5)
21.2 9.8 92.5% 0.5%
24 15.0
Notre Dame (16-3)
23.5 7.5 96.9% 0.5%
25 14.9
St Marys (15-2)
25.5 3.5 99.6% 0.6%
26 14.9
Wichita St (16-4)
25.9 5.1 83.3% 0.3%
27 13.5
23.9 7.1 94.3% 0.2%
28 13.3
Clemson (11-6)
18.2 11.8 50.9% 0.1%
29 12.8
Marquette (12-6)
18.6 11.4 44.4% 0.1%
30 12.8
Syracuse (11-8)
16.8 14.2 13.1% 0.0%
31 12.7
Miami (FL) (12-5)
18.0 12.0 23.4% 0.1%
32 12.6
Kansas St (14-4)
19.7 11.3 33.0% 0.1%
33 12.5
Texas Tech (14-4)
20.4 10.6 38.3% 0.1%
34 11.8 21.3 9.7 60.4% 0.1%
35 11.8
S Carolina (15-3)
23.0 8.0 95.6% 0.1%

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