Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.3
Duke (9-1)
25.9 5.1 99.8% 13.6%
2 22.7
Kansas (8-1)
25.4 5.6 99.9% 11.3%
3 22.6 26.1 4.9 99.0% 11.5%
4 22.2 26.4 5.6 99.7% 9.9%
5 22.1
Kentucky (8-1)
26.5 4.5 99.9% 10.0%
6 21.1
Villanova (9-0)
26.8 4.2 99.7% 7.4%
7 20.6
Virginia (8-1)
23.1 6.9 98.3% 5.7%
8 19.2 23.6 7.4 98.8% 3.6%
9 18.9
UCLA (9-0)
27.5 3.5 99.3% 3.8%
10 18.0
Gonzaga (9-0)
28.1 1.9 99.8% 2.7%
11 17.9
Purdue (7-2)
24.1 6.9 94.6% 2.4%
12 17.8
Wisconsin (8-2)
23.8 7.2 93.9% 2.0%
13 17.2
Baylor (8-0)
23.9 7.1 97.9% 2.0%
14 16.9
Florida (7-2)
23.2 7.8 98.4% 1.5%
15 16.9 26.9 4.1 95.4% 1.4%
16 16.5
Creighton (10-0)
24.8 6.2 92.7% 1.3%
17 16.2
Xavier (7-2)
22.0 9.0 92.5% 1.2%
18 16.0
Indiana (7-1)
23.0 8.0 89.8% 1.2%
19 15.6 18.8 11.2 64.2% 0.7%
20 15.4
Butler (8-1)
21.4 8.6 89.3% 0.8%
21 15.4 22.5 8.5 75.0% 0.7%
22 15.3 21.5 9.5 74.0% 0.6%
23 15.1 25.4 5.6 96.1% 0.8%
24 14.7
Oregon (7-2)
23.3 7.7 86.4% 0.6%
25 14.4
St Marys (6-1)
25.2 3.8 95.7% 0.6%
26 14.3
Syracuse (5-3)
20.1 10.9 48.3% 0.3%
27 14.0 19.2 10.8 52.4% 0.3%
28 13.5
Arizona (7-2)
22.3 8.7 83.5% 0.3%
29 13.3
Marquette (7-2)
19.5 10.5 54.0% 0.2%
30 12.7 19.9 11.1 32.8% 0.1%
31 12.7
Michigan (7-2)
20.4 10.6 60.2% 0.2%
32 12.6 19.1 11.9 63.4% 0.1%
33 12.3 23.4 7.6 79.9% 0.2%
34 12.1
Texas A&M (6-2)
19.5 10.5 59.9% 0.1%
35 11.6 21.9 8.1 79.6% 0.1%

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