Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 28.1
Michigan (16-1)
 27.3 3.7 100.0% 23.6%
2 25.0
Duke (17-1)
 27.7 3.3 100.0% 11.2%
3 24.7
Gonzaga (19-1)
 29.4 1.6 100.0% 8.6%
4 24.2
Arizona (18-0)
 27.8 3.2 100.0% 8.5%
5 24.0
Purdue (17-1)
 26.6 4.4 100.0% 8.0%
6 22.7
Houston (16-1)
 26.4 4.6 100.0% 5.4%
7 22.1
Iowa St (16-2)
 25.6 5.4 99.8% 4.0%
8 22.0
Illinois (15-3)
 24.3 6.7 100.0% 3.7%
9 21.3
Florida (13-5)
 22.4 8.6 99.9% 2.9%
10 21.1
UConn (18-1)
 27.4 3.6 100.0% 3.1%
11 21.0
Louisville (13-5)
 22.3 8.7 99.6% 2.2%
12 20.7
Michigan St (16-2)
 24.6 6.4 100.0% 2.4%
13 20.7
BYU (16-2)
 24.6 6.4 100.0% 2.3%
14 20.2
Alabama (13-5)
 21.7 9.3 99.9% 1.7%
15 20.2
Vanderbilt (16-2)
 24.6 6.4 100.0% 1.9%
16 19.7
St John's (13-5)
 23.0 8.0 100.0% 1.5%
17 19.3
Kansas (13-5)
 21.1 9.9 99.7% 1.1%
18 18.6
Nebraska (18-0)
 26.4 4.6 100.0% 1.1%
19 18.5
Iowa (13-5)
 21.6 9.4 92.1% 0.6%
20 18.5
Tennessee (12-6)
 19.8 11.2 94.8% 0.6%
21 18.5
Kentucky (12-6)
 19.5 11.5 94.5% 0.6%
22 18.4
Texas Tech (14-4)
 21.7 9.3 99.8% 0.8%
23 18.3
Virginia (16-2)
 25.7 5.3 99.0% 0.9%
24 18.2
Georgia (15-3)
 22.8 8.2 94.9% 0.6%
25 18.2
Arkansas (13-5)
 21.0 10.0 99.1% 0.6%
26 16.2
NC State (12-6)
 19.4 11.6 89.8% 0.2%
27 15.9
Saint Louis (17-1)
 27.9 3.1 65.2% 0.2%
28 15.9
Auburn (11-7)
 17.5 13.5 79.8% 0.1%
29 15.8
Clemson (16-3)
 23.7 7.3 95.5% 0.2%
30 15.7
Ohio St (12-5)
 19.2 11.8 86.5% 0.1%
31 15.5
North Carolina (14-4)
 21.2 9.8 93.8% 0.1%
32 15.5
Indiana (12-6)
 18.4 12.6 71.2% 0.1%
33 15.5
Utah St (15-2)
 25.8 5.2 95.9% 0.2%
34 15.1
SMU (13-5)
 21.3 9.7 90.3% 0.1%
35 14.7
Villanova (14-4)
 22.2 8.8 98.4% 0.1%

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