Sugar Bowl Playoff Quarterfinal: Mississippi vs. Georgia: Recap
Thursday Jan 1, 2026 8:00 pm -
New Orleans, LA
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Georgia by 6,
Total Points:
53.5
Matchup Menu: MISS vs. UGA
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | MISS | 31.9% | ||
| UGA | 68.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGA -6.0 | MISS | 49.7% | ||
| UGA | 50.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Over | 45.6% | ||
| Under | 54.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MISS | -3.8% | ||
| UGA | -0.6% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 22.8 | 24 | 23.8 | 39 |
| UGA | 28.9 | 28 | 29.8 | 34 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 7.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.571 | 0.693 |
| Rush Play % | 44.71% | 56.96% |
| Pass Play % | 55.29% | 43.04% |
| Completion % | 68.85% | 71.65% |
| 3D Conv % | 43.10% | 53.45% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 91.67% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.391 | 0.245 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.19% | 60.36% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 45.95% | 35.71% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 85.00% | 90.91% |