NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Pac-12 bracket.
The 2021 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.
In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.