Pac-12 Tournament Information

2016 Pac-12 tournament site: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2016 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 9th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Arizona as the most likely winner of the 2016 Pac-12 Tournament. The second most likely team to top the Pac-12 bracket is Oregon.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Pac-12 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Pac-12 CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Oregon 8 2 13.2 4.8 24.2 6.8 64.4% 18.1%
Arizona 7 4 12.4 5.6 24.4 6.6 16.6% 35.2%
USC 7 3 11.5 6.5 22.5 8.5 11.8% 13.0%
Utah 6 4 10.9 7.1 21.9 9.1 5.3% 12.0%
Washington 7 4 10.1 7.9 18.1 11.9 0.5% 2.7%
California 5 5 9.7 8.3 19.7 11.3 0.9% 8.7%
Colorado 6 5 9.4 8.6 20.4 10.6 0.5% 3.5%
Oregon St 5 6 7.7 10.3 16.7 12.3 0.0% 1.4%
UCLA 4 6 7.6 10.4 16.6 14.4 0.0% 2.7%
Stanford 4 6 7.2 10.8 14.2 14.8 0.0% 1.0%
Arizona St 3 8 6.0 12.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 1.8%
Wash State 1 10 2.2 15.8 10.2 19.8 0.0% 0.1%

The 2016 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.

In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.