Pac-12 Tournament Information

2023 Pac-12 tournament site: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2023 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 8th-11th, 2023

These 2023 Pac-12 tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2023 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2023 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2023 Pac-12 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Pac-12

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
UCLA 1 0 15.7 4.3 23.6 7.4 50.8% 36.3%
Arizona 0 1 14.6 5.4 24.4 6.6 27.9% 29.1%
Arizona St 1 0 12.0 8.0 20.5 10.5 5.8% 7.0%
Utah 1 0 11.9 8.1 19.9 11.1 4.8% 6.4%
Oregon 1 0 11.9 8.1 18.2 12.8 5.3% 7.3%
Colorado 0 1 10.6 9.4 18.1 12.9 2.0% 4.5%
USC 1 0 10.4 9.6 17.1 13.9 1.8% 3.3%
Stanford 0 1 9.8 10.2 15.7 15.3 0.9% 2.6%
Wash State 0 1 9.5 10.5 15.0 14.0 0.8% 3.0%
Washington 0 1 6.8 13.2 14.9 16.1 0.0% 0.5%
Oregon St 1 0 3.9 16.1 8.9 22.1 0.0% 0.0%
California 0 1 3.0 17.0 4.7 26.3 0.0% 0.0%

The 2023 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2023 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2023 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.

In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2023 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.