MAAC Championship Information

2016 MAAC tournament site: Times-Union Center, Albany, NY
2016 MAAC tournament dates: March 3rd-7th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Monmouth as the most likely winner of the 2016 MAAC Championship. The second most likely team to top the MAAC bracket is Siena.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of Siena.
Quarterfinals - home court of Siena.
Semifinals - home court of Siena.
Championship Game - home court of Siena.

The 2016 MAAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 MAAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAAC tournament championship for every team in the 2016 MAAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MAAC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Monmouth 11 2 16.8 3.2 24.8 6.2 90.9% 38.9%
Iona 10 3 14.6 5.4 17.6 11.4 8.5% 17.9%
Siena 9 4 13.4 6.6 20.4 10.6 0.6% 31.4%
St Peters 6 6 10.5 9.5 12.5 16.5 0.0% 1.7%
Fairfield 6 7 10.0 10.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 2.9%
Rider 6 7 9.7 10.3 13.7 17.3 0.0% 3.7%
Manhattan 6 5 9.4 10.6 12.4 16.6 0.0% 1.0%
Canisius 5 8 8.7 11.3 13.7 17.3 0.0% 2.0%
Quinnipiac 5 7 7.9 12.1 10.9 18.1 0.0% 0.4%
Niagara 4 9 5.8 14.2 7.8 23.2 0.0% 0.1%
Marist 1 11 3.3 16.7 6.3 22.7 0.0% 0.1%

The 2016 MAAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 MAAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MAAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 MAAC Championship depend only partly on their MAAC bracket seed. Winning the MAAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 MAAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the MAAC Championship championship than a team with a worse MAAC tournament seed.

In addition, because MAAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAAC conference games, MAAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 MAAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the MAAC bracket.