MAAC Championship Information

2018 MAAC tournament site: Times-Union Center, Albany, NY
2018 MAAC tournament dates: March 1st-5th, 2018

These 2018 MAAC tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - home court of Siena.
  • Quarterfinals - home court of Siena.
  • Semifinals - home court of Siena.
  • Championship Game - home court of Siena.

The 2018 MAAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2018 MAAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAAC tournament championship for every team in the 2018 MAAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MAAC

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Iona 0 0 12.8 5.2 18.5 11.5 41.9% 30.0%
Monmouth 0 0 11.8 6.2 15.5 14.5 23.2% 22.0%
Rider 0 0 10.8 7.2 16.6 13.4 12.1% 13.0%
St Peters 0 0 9.5 8.5 14.9 14.1 5.6% 7.0%
Niagara 0 0 9.1 8.9 15.0 16.0 4.8% 5.8%
Fairfield 0 0 9.1 8.9 14.1 14.9 4.2% 5.3%
Canisius 0 0 9.1 8.9 14.2 16.8 4.0% 5.7%
Manhattan 0 0 8.9 9.1 13.3 16.7 3.5% 5.5%
Siena 0 0 6.9 11.1 10.2 20.8 0.6% 4.9%
Quinnipiac 0 0 5.6 12.4 8.8 21.2 0.1% 0.5%
Marist 0 0 5.4 12.6 7.7 22.3 0.1% 0.4%

The 2018 MAAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2018 MAAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MAAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2018 MAAC Championship depend only partly on their MAAC bracket seed. Winning the MAAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2018 MAAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the MAAC Championship championship than a team with a worse MAAC tournament seed.

In addition, because MAAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAAC conference games, MAAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2018 MAAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the MAAC bracket.