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MAAC Bracket 2015 & MAAC Tournament Predictions

MAAC Championship Information

2015 MAAC tournament site: Times-Union Center, Albany, NY
2015 MAAC tournament dates: March 5th-9th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 MAAC Championship, we projected Iona as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the MAAC bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Manhattan.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of Siena.
Quarterfinals - home court of Siena.
Semifinals - home court of Siena.
Championship Game - home court of Siena.

The 2015 MAAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 MAAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAAC tournament championship for every team in the 2015 MAAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MAAC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Iona 17 3 17.0 3.0 26.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0%
Rider 15 5 15.0 5.0 21.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 13 7 13.0 7.0 18.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 13 7 13.0 7.0 19.0 13.0 0.0% 100.0%
Canisius 11 9 11.0 9.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 9 11 9.0 11.0 15.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
St Peters 8 12 8.0 12.0 16.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 7 13 7.0 13.0 8.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 7 13 7.0 13.0 11.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 5 15 5.0 15.0 7.0 25.0 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 5 15 5.0 15.0 7.0 24.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 MAAC Championship depend only partly on their MAAC bracket seed. Winning the MAAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 MAAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the MAAC Championship championship than a team with a worse MAAC tournament seed.

In addition, because MAAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAAC conference games, MAAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 MAAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the MAAC bracket.