2026 WCC tournament site: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2026 WCC tournament dates: March 5th-10th, 2026
These 2026 WCC tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.
| Seed | Team | R2 | R3 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2026 WCC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2026 WCC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the WCC tournament championship for every team in the 2026 WCC bracket.
| Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
| Gonzaga | 7 | 0 | 17.4 | 0.6 | 29.4 | 1.6 | 95.5% | 83.5% |
| Saint Mary's | 6 | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 2.9% | 10.0% |
| Santa Clara | 7 | 1 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 22.7 | 8.3 | 1.6% | 5.5% |
| San Francisco | 4 | 3 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 17.1 | 13.9 | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Washington St | 3 | 3 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Seattle | 2 | 5 | 8.4 | 9.6 | 19.4 | 11.6 | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Pacific | 4 | 4 | 8.4 | 9.6 | 17.4 | 13.6 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Loyola Mymt | 2 | 6 | 7.1 | 10.9 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oregon St | 3 | 5 | 6.3 | 11.7 | 13.3 | 17.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| San Diego | 2 | 5 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Portland | 3 | 5 | 5.8 | 12.2 | 12.8 | 18.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pepperdine | 1 | 6 | 3.3 | 14.7 | 8.3 | 22.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2026 WCC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2026 WCC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the WCC tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2026 WCC Tournament depend only partly on their WCC bracket seed. Winning the WCC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2026 WCC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better WCC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the WCC Tournament championship than a team with a worse WCC tournament seed.
In addition, because WCC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in WCC conference games, WCC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the WCC bracket can have better odds to win the 2026 WCC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the WCC bracket.
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