NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - regular season champ.
Semifinals - regular season champ.
Championship Game - higher seed.
The 2020 Big South tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2020 Big South tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big South tournament championship
for every team in the 2020 Big South bracket.
The 2020 Big South projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2020 Big South Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big South tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2020 Big South Conference Championship depend only partly on their Big South bracket seed. Winning the Big South Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2020 Big South bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big South Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big South Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Big South tournament seed.
In addition, because Big South tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big South conference games, Big South tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big South bracket can have better odds to win the 2020 Big South Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big South bracket.