Big South Conference Championship Information

2016 Big South tournament site: Gilbert Craig Gore Arena, Blues Creek, NC
2016 Big South tournament dates: March 3rd-6th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Coastal Car as the most likely winner of the 2016 Big South Conference Championship. The second most likely team to top the Big South bracket is NC-Asheville.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of Penn State.
Quarterfinals - home court of Penn State.
Semifinals - home court of Penn State.
Championship Game - home court of Penn State.

The 2016 Big South tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Big South tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big South tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Big South bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big South CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
NC-Asheville 10 3 13.6 4.4 20.6 9.4 64.7% 26.6%
Coastal Car 9 4 12.3 5.7 18.3 9.7 26.2% 29.4%
Winthrop 8 4 11.1 6.9 19.1 9.9 5.0% 10.6%
High Point 7 5 10.9 7.1 17.9 11.1 2.7% 18.6%
Gard-Webb 8 5 10.8 7.2 15.8 14.2 0.7% 5.4%
Liberty 8 5 10.1 7.9 13.1 17.9 0.7% 1.2%
Radford 6 6 9.3 8.7 16.3 13.7 0.1% 6.0%
Longwood 4 8 6.1 11.9 10.1 20.9 0.0% 0.5%
Charl South 4 9 5.9 12.1 9.9 19.1 0.0% 1.1%
Presbyterian 3 9 4.9 13.1 9.9 19.1 0.0% 0.2%
Campbell 2 11 4.0 14.0 10.8 18.2 0.0% 0.4%

The 2016 Big South projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Big South Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big South tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Big South Conference Championship depend only partly on their Big South bracket seed. Winning the Big South Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Big South bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big South Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big South Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Big South tournament seed.

In addition, because Big South tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big South conference games, Big South tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big South bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Big South Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big South bracket.