2025 Big Ten tournament site: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
2025 Big Ten tournament dates: March 12th-16th, 2025
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2025 Big Ten tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2025 Big Ten tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Ten tournament championship for every team in the 2025 Big Ten bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Michigan St | 17 | 3 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
Michigan | 14 | 6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 0.0% | 43.9% |
Maryland | 14 | 6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Purdue | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
UCLA | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wisconsin | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 0.0% | 56.1% |
Illinois | 12 | 8 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Oregon | 12 | 8 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Indiana | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ohio St | 9 | 11 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rutgers | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Northwestern | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
USC | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Nebraska | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Iowa | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Minnesota | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Penn St | 6 | 14 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Washington | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2025 Big Ten Tournament depend only partly on their Big Ten bracket seed. Winning the Big Ten Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2025 Big Ten bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Ten Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Ten Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big Ten tournament seed.
In addition, because Big Ten tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Ten conference games, Big Ten tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket can have better odds to win the 2025 Big Ten Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket.
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