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Big Ten Bracket 2015 & Big Ten Tournament Predictions

Big Ten Tournament Information

2015 Big Ten tournament site: United Center, Chicago, IL
2015 Big Ten tournament dates: March 11th-15th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Big Ten Tournament, we projected Wisconsin as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Big Ten bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Ohio State.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Big Ten tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Big Ten tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Ten tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Big Ten bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big Ten CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Wisconsin 16 2 16.0 2.0 30.0 3.0 100.0% 71.0%
Maryland 14 4 14.0 4.0 27.0 6.0 0.0% 3.1%
Michigan St 13 6 13.0 6.0 23.0 10.0 0.0% 10.9%
Purdue 12 6 12.0 6.0 21.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
Iowa 12 6 12.0 6.0 21.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio State 11 8 11.0 8.0 23.0 10.0 0.0% 15.1%
Illinois 9 9 9.0 9.0 19.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana 9 9 9.0 9.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Michigan 8 10 8.0 10.0 16.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 6 12 6.0 12.0 15.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 6 12 6.0 12.0 18.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska 5 13 5.0 13.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Penn State 4 14 4.0 14.0 18.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 2 16 2.0 16.0 10.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Big Ten Tournament depend only partly on their Big Ten bracket seed. Winning the Big Ten Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Big Ten bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Ten Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Ten Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big Ten tournament seed.

In addition, because Big Ten tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Ten conference games, Big Ten tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Big Ten Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket.