Big Ten Tournament Information

2018 Big Ten tournament site: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
2018 Big Ten tournament dates: February 28th-March 4th, 2018

These 2018 Big Ten tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Second Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2018 Big Ten tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2018 Big Ten tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Ten tournament championship for every team in the 2018 Big Ten bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big Ten

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Michigan St 2 0 15.1 2.9 27.1 3.9 55.8% 41.6%
Purdue 2 0 14.7 3.3 25.5 5.5 38.3% 34.7%
Ohio State 2 0 10.9 7.1 20.1 10.9 2.4% 3.8%
Maryland 1 1 10.0 8.0 20.9 10.1 0.9% 5.4%
Minnesota 1 1 9.9 8.1 20.8 10.2 1.4% 4.9%
Michigan 1 1 9.4 8.6 19.6 11.4 0.7% 3.5%
Penn State 1 1 9.0 9.0 19.6 11.4 0.3% 2.0%
Northwestern 1 1 8.4 9.6 16.9 14.1 0.2% 1.5%
Wisconsin 1 1 8.2 9.8 14.9 16.1 0.1% 1.3%
Indiana 1 1 6.8 11.2 13.7 16.3 0.1% 0.4%
Nebraska 1 1 6.5 11.5 15.5 15.5 0.0% 0.1%
Illinois 0 2 6.1 11.9 15.7 15.3 0.0% 0.3%
Iowa 0 2 5.6 12.4 13.8 17.2 0.0% 0.3%
Rutgers 0 2 5.5 12.5 16.5 14.5 0.0% 0.2%

The 2018 Big Ten projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2018 Big Ten Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big Ten tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2018 Big Ten Tournament depend only partly on their Big Ten bracket seed. Winning the Big Ten Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2018 Big Ten bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Ten Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Ten Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big Ten tournament seed.

In addition, because Big Ten tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Ten conference games, Big Ten tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket can have better odds to win the 2018 Big Ten Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket.