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ACC Bracket 2015 & ACC Tournament Predictions

ACC Tournament Information

2015 ACC tournament site: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
2015 ACC tournament dates: March 10th-14th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 ACC Tournament, we projected Duke as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the ACC bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Virginia.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2015 ACC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

ACC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Virginia 16 2 16.0 2.0 29.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0%
Duke 15 3 15.0 3.0 29.0 4.0 0.0% 0.0%
Notre Dame 14 4 14.0 4.0 29.0 5.0 0.0% 100.0%
Louisville 12 6 12.0 6.0 24.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Carolina 11 7 11.0 7.0 24.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (FL) 10 8 10.0 8.0 21.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
NC State 10 8 10.0 8.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Syracuse 9 9 9.0 9.0 18.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Florida St 8 10 8.0 10.0 17.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Clemson 8 10 8.0 10.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Pittsburgh 8 10 8.0 10.0 19.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 5 13 5.0 13.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Boston Col 4 14 4.0 14.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
GA Tech 3 15 3.0 15.0 12.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
VA Tech 2 16 2.0 16.0 11.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.

In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.