2023 ACC tournament site: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
2023 ACC tournament dates: March 7th-11th, 2023
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2023 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2023 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2023 ACC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Miami (FL) | 15 | 5 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
Virginia | 15 | 5 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pittsburgh | 14 | 6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Duke | 14 | 6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
Clemson | 14 | 6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NC State | 12 | 8 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
N Carolina | 11 | 9 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Syracuse | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wake Forest | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Boston Col | 9 | 11 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
VA Tech | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Florida St | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
GA Tech | 6 | 14 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 3 | 17 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Louisville | 2 | 18 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2023 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2023 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.
In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2023 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.
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