ACC Tournament Information

2016 ACC tournament site: Verizon Center, Washington, DC
2016 ACC tournament dates: March 8th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project N Carolina as the most likely winner of the 2016 ACC Tournament. The second most likely team to top the ACC bracket is Virginia.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2016 ACC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

ACC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Carolina 9 2 13.5 4.5 24.5 6.5 36.6% 24.4%
Virginia 9 3 12.5 5.5 23.5 6.5 24.5% 21.8%
Louisville 8 3 12.4 5.6 23.4 7.6 16.0% 0.0%
Miami (FL) 8 3 12.2 5.8 23.2 6.8 13.3% 15.7%
Duke 7 4 11.4 6.6 22.4 8.6 5.6% 21.5%
Notre Dame 8 4 11.4 6.6 20.4 9.6 3.7% 5.8%
Clemson 7 5 10.4 7.6 17.4 12.6 0.2% 1.4%
Pittsburgh 6 5 9.6 8.4 20.6 9.4 0.1% 4.3%
Florida St 6 5 9.5 8.5 19.5 10.5 0.1% 2.1%
Syracuse 6 5 9.3 8.7 19.3 11.7 0.0% 1.7%
VA Tech 5 7 7.1 10.9 15.1 15.9 0.0% 0.1%
GA Tech 2 8 6.1 11.9 16.1 14.9 0.0% 0.8%
NC State 2 9 5.2 12.8 15.2 15.8 0.0% 0.5%
Wake Forest 1 10 3.2 14.8 12.2 17.8 0.0% 0.0%
Boston Col 0 11 1.3 16.7 8.3 22.7 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 ACC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 ACC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the ACC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.

In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.