Sun Belt Conference Championship Information

2016 Sun Belt tournament site: Lakefront Arena, New Orleans, LA
2016 Sun Belt tournament dates: March 10th-13th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project AR Lit Rock as the most likely winner of the 2016 Sun Belt Conference Championship. The second most likely team to top the Sun Belt bracket is LA Lafayette.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Sun Belt tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Sun Belt tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Sun Belt tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Sun Belt bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
AR Lit Rock 10 1 16.3 3.7 26.3 4.7 75.9% 34.1%
LA Lafayette 9 3 14.9 5.1 18.9 10.1 22.8% 32.1%
TX-Arlington 5 5 12.5 7.5 21.5 9.5 1.0% 22.8%
LA Monroe 6 5 11.0 9.0 15.0 16.0 0.1% 4.4%
Georgia St 6 5 10.6 9.4 17.6 11.4 0.0% 3.9%
Arkansas St 7 4 10.1 9.9 14.1 16.9 0.1% 0.9%
GA Southern 5 6 9.1 10.9 13.1 16.9 0.0% 0.8%
App State 4 7 7.5 12.5 9.5 21.5 0.0% 0.2%
Texas State 3 7 7.3 12.7 13.3 15.7 0.0% 0.5%
S Alabama 4 7 7.1 12.9 12.1 18.9 0.0% 0.1%
Troy 1 10 3.4 16.6 8.4 22.6 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 Sun Belt projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Sun Belt Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Sun Belt tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Sun Belt Conference Championship depend only partly on their Sun Belt bracket seed. Winning the Sun Belt Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Sun Belt bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Sun Belt Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Sun Belt Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Sun Belt tournament seed.

In addition, because Sun Belt tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Sun Belt conference games, Sun Belt tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Sun Belt bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Sun Belt Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Sun Belt bracket.