NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 Sun Belt tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Sun Belt tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Sun Belt tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Sun Belt bracket.
The 2021 Sun Belt projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Sun Belt Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Sun Belt tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Sun Belt Conference Championship depend only partly on their Sun Belt bracket seed. Winning the Sun Belt Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Sun Belt bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Sun Belt Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Sun Belt Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Sun Belt tournament seed.
In addition, because Sun Belt tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Sun Belt conference games, Sun Belt tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Sun Belt bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Sun Belt Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Sun Belt bracket.