SWAC Championship Information

2016 SWAC tournament site: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
2016 SWAC tournament dates: March 8th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project TX Southern as the most likely winner of the 2016 SWAC Championship. The second most likely team to top the SWAC bracket is Southern.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 SWAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 SWAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SWAC tournament championship for every team in the 2016 SWAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
TX Southern 9 1 15.3 2.7 16.3 13.7 84.6% 39.7%
Southern 8 3 13.2 4.8 21.2 9.8 9.5% 23.8%
Jackson St 8 3 12.7 5.3 17.7 13.3 5.3% 22.6%
Alcorn State 8 3 10.9 7.1 12.9 16.1 0.7% 0.0%
Alab A&M 4 7 8.1 9.9 12.1 14.9 0.0% 8.3%
Miss Val St 5 6 6.8 11.2 6.8 25.2 0.0% 0.4%
Alabama St 3 8 6.3 11.7 11.3 18.7 0.0% 3.2%
Ark Pine Bl 4 7 6.3 11.7 8.3 23.7 0.0% 0.6%
Prairie View 2 8 5.3 12.7 5.3 24.7 0.0% 0.9%
Grambling St 3 8 5.1 12.9 8.1 21.9 0.0% 0.4%

The 2016 SWAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 SWAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the SWAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 SWAC Championship depend only partly on their SWAC bracket seed. Winning the SWAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 SWAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SWAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the SWAC Championship championship than a team with a worse SWAC tournament seed.

In addition, because SWAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SWAC conference games, SWAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SWAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 SWAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the SWAC bracket.