NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 SWAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 SWAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SWAC tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 SWAC bracket.
The 2021 SWAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 SWAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the SWAC tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 SWAC Championship depend only partly on their SWAC bracket seed. Winning the SWAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 SWAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SWAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the SWAC Championship championship than a team with a worse SWAC tournament seed.
In addition, because SWAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SWAC conference games, SWAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SWAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 SWAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the SWAC bracket.