Big Sky Championship Information

2015 Big Sky tournament site: Home Court of Regular Season Champ
2015 Big Sky tournament dates: March 12th-14th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Big Sky Championship, we projected E Washingtn as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Big Sky bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Montana.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - regular season champ.
Semifinals - regular season champ.
Championship Game - regular season champ.

The 2015 Big Sky tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Big Sky tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Sky tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Big Sky bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big Sky CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Montana 14 4 14.0 4.0 20.0 12.0 50.5% 0.0%
E Washingtn 14 4 14.0 4.0 26.0 8.0 49.5% 100.0%
N Arizona 13 5 13.0 5.0 19.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sac State 13 5 13.0 5.0 20.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Colorado 10 8 10.0 8.0 15.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St 9 9 9.0 9.0 15.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Weber State 8 10 8.0 10.0 13.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 8 10 8.0 10.0 13.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Utah 7 11 7.0 11.0 10.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St 4 14 4.0 14.0 7.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho State 4 14 4.0 14.0 7.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 4 14 4.0 14.0 8.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Big Sky Championship depend only partly on their Big Sky bracket seed. Winning the Big Sky Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Big Sky bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Sky Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Sky Championship championship than a team with a worse Big Sky tournament seed.

In addition, because Big Sky tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Sky conference games, Big Sky tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Big Sky Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket.