Big Sky Championship Information

2016 Big Sky tournament site: Reno Events Center, Reno, NV
2016 Big Sky tournament dates: March 8th, 10th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Weber State as the most likely winner of the 2016 Big Sky Championship. The second most likely team to top the Big Sky bracket is E Washingtn.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Big Sky tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Big Sky tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Sky tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Big Sky bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big Sky CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Weber State 8 2 14.4 3.6 22.4 8.6 64.1% 41.8%
Montana 9 2 14.2 3.8 19.2 9.8 34.0% 16.6%
E Washingtn 7 4 11.6 6.4 17.6 12.4 1.6% 18.3%
North Dakota 7 4 10.5 7.5 15.5 13.5 0.2% 6.2%
Idaho 6 5 10.2 7.8 18.2 12.8 0.0% 8.5%
Idaho State 6 4 9.4 8.6 14.4 15.6 0.0% 1.2%
Montana St 5 6 8.6 9.4 13.6 16.4 0.0% 1.6%
Portland St 4 6 8.1 9.9 12.1 16.9 0.0% 2.5%
Sac State 3 7 7.3 10.7 14.3 14.7 0.0% 3.0%
N Colorado 5 6 6.5 11.5 9.5 20.5 0.0% 0.2%
N Arizona 2 9 3.8 14.2 5.8 23.2 0.0% 0.1%
S Utah 2 9 3.2 14.8 5.2 22.8 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 Big Sky projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Big Sky Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big Sky tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Big Sky Championship depend only partly on their Big Sky bracket seed. Winning the Big Sky Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Big Sky bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Sky Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Sky Championship championship than a team with a worse Big Sky tournament seed.

In addition, because Big Sky tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Sky conference games, Big Sky tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Big Sky Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket.