2024 Big 12 tournament site: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
2024 Big 12 tournament dates: March 12th-16th, 2024
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2024 Big 12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2024 Big 12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big 12 tournament championship for every team in the 2024 Big 12 bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Houston | 15 | 3 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
Iowa St | 13 | 5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
Texas Tech | 11 | 7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Baylor | 11 | 7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BYU | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kansas | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Texas | 9 | 9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TX Christian | 9 | 9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kansas St | 8 | 10 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Oklahoma | 8 | 10 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
UCF | 7 | 11 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Cincinnati | 7 | 11 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
W Virginia | 4 | 14 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Oklahoma St | 4 | 14 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2024 Big 12 Championship depend only partly on their Big 12 bracket seed. Winning the Big 12 Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2024 Big 12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big 12 Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big 12 Championship championship than a team with a worse Big 12 tournament seed.
In addition, because Big 12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big 12 conference games, Big 12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big 12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2024 Big 12 Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big 12 bracket.
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