NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 Big 12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Big 12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big 12 tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Big 12 bracket.
The 2021 Big 12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Big 12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big 12 tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Big 12 Championship depend only partly on their Big 12 bracket seed. Winning the Big 12 Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Big 12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big 12 Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big 12 Championship championship than a team with a worse Big 12 tournament seed.
In addition, because Big 12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big 12 conference games, Big 12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big 12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Big 12 Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big 12 bracket.