NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.
The 2021 Northeast tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Northeast tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Northeast tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Northeast bracket.
The 2021 Northeast projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Northeast Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Northeast tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 NEC Tournament depend only partly on their Northeast bracket seed. Winning the NEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Northeast bracket. In some cases, the team with a better NEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the NEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Northeast tournament seed.
In addition, because Northeast tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Northeast conference games, Northeast tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Northeast bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 NEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Northeast bracket.