Northeast Bracket 2016 & Northeast Tournament Predictions
NEC Tournament Information
2016 Northeast tournament site: Campus Sites
2016 Northeast tournament dates: March 2nd, 5th & 8th, 2016
In our most recent calculations, we project Wagner as the most likely winner of the 2016 NEC Tournament. The second most likely team to top the Northeast bracket is Mt St Marys.
Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.
The 2016 Northeast tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Northeast tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Northeast tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Northeast bracket.
Projected Conference Standings
|Team||conf W||L||conf W||L||overall W||L||Win Conf||Win Tourn|
|Mt St Marys||7||5||11.1||6.9||14.1||16.9||12.4%||20.0%|
|St Fran (PA)||8||4||10.6||7.4||14.6||14.4||6.6%||9.0%|
|St Fran (NY)||6||6||9.8||8.2||13.8||17.2||0.7%||7.5%|
The 2016 Northeast projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Northeast Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Northeast tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2016 NEC Tournament depend only partly on their Northeast bracket seed. Winning the NEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Northeast bracket. In some cases, the team with a better NEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the NEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Northeast tournament seed.
In addition, because Northeast tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Northeast conference games, Northeast tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Northeast bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 NEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Northeast bracket.