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Northeast Bracket 2015 & Northeast Tournament Predictions

NEC Tournament Information

2015 Northeast tournament site: Campus Sites
2015 Northeast tournament dates: March 4th, 7th & 10th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 NEC Tournament, we projected St Fran (NY) as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Northeast bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Rob Morris.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2015 Northeast tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Northeast tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Northeast tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Northeast bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Northeast CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
St Fran (NY) 15 3 15.0 3.0 23.0 11.0 100.0% 0.0%
Bryant 12 6 12.0 6.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Rob Morris 12 6 12.0 6.0 19.0 14.0 0.0% 100.0%
Mt St Marys 11 7 11.0 7.0 15.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
St Fran (PA) 9 9 9.0 9.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Hrt 9 9 9.0 9.0 15.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 8 10 8.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
LIU-Brooklyn 8 10 8.0 10.0 12.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Central Conn 3 15 3.0 15.0 5.0 26.0 0.0% 0.0%
F Dickinson 3 15 3.0 15.0 8.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 NEC Tournament depend only partly on their Northeast bracket seed. Winning the NEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Northeast bracket. In some cases, the team with a better NEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the NEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Northeast tournament seed.

In addition, because Northeast tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Northeast conference games, Northeast tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Northeast bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 NEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Northeast bracket.