NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 MEAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 MEAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MEAC tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 MEAC bracket.
The 2021 MEAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 MEAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MEAC tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 MEAC Tournament depend only partly on their MEAC bracket seed. Winning the MEAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 MEAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MEAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the MEAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse MEAC tournament seed.
In addition, because MEAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MEAC conference games, MEAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MEAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 MEAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MEAC bracket.