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Ohio Valley Bracket 2015 & Ohio Valley Tournament Predictions

OVC Tournament Information

2015 Ohio Valley tournament site: Nashville Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN
2015 Ohio Valley tournament dates: March 4th-7th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 OVC Tournament, we projected Murray St as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Ohio Valley bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was E Kentucky.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Ohio Valley tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Ohio Valley tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Ohio Valley tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Ohio Valley bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Ohio Valley CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
East conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Belmont 11 5 11.0 5.0 22.0 10.0 0.0% 100.0%
E Kentucky 11 5 11.0 5.0 19.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St 10 6 10.0 6.0 17.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jksnville St 5 11 5.0 11.0 12.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
TN Tech 4 12 4.0 12.0 12.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
TN State 2 14 2.0 14.0 5.0 26.0 0.0% 0.0%
West conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Murray St 16 0 16.0 0.0 27.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0%
TN Martin 10 6 10.0 6.0 18.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
E Illinois 9 7 9.0 7.0 17.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edward 8 8 8.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
SE Missouri 7 9 7.0 9.0 13.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 3 13 3.0 13.0 8.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 OVC Tournament depend only partly on their Ohio Valley bracket seed. Winning the OVC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Ohio Valley bracket. In some cases, the team with a better OVC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the OVC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Ohio Valley tournament seed.

In addition, because Ohio Valley tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Ohio Valley conference games, Ohio Valley tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Ohio Valley bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 OVC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Ohio Valley bracket.