NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 Ohio Valley tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Ohio Valley tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Ohio Valley tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Ohio Valley bracket.
The 2021 Ohio Valley projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Ohio Valley Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Ohio Valley tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 OVC Tournament depend only partly on their Ohio Valley bracket seed. Winning the OVC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Ohio Valley bracket. In some cases, the team with a better OVC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the OVC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Ohio Valley tournament seed.
In addition, because Ohio Valley tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Ohio Valley conference games, Ohio Valley tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Ohio Valley bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 OVC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Ohio Valley bracket.