WAC Tournament Information

2016 WAC tournament site: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2016 WAC tournament dates: March 10th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project N Mex State as the most likely winner of the 2016 WAC Tournament. The second most likely team to top the WAC bracket is CS Bakersfld.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 WAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 WAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the WAC tournament championship for every team in the 2016 WAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Mex State 7 1 12.1 1.9 20.2 9.8 80.3% 56.5%
Grand Canyon 6 2 10.5 3.5 24.2 6.8 9.7% 0.0%
CS Bakersfld 6 2 10.4 3.6 20.4 8.6 9.7% 30.8%
Seattle 5 3 7.5 6.5 13.5 14.5 0.2% 4.6%
Utah Val St 4 4 6.3 7.7 12.3 16.7 0.0% 3.6%
UMKC 2 6 4.6 9.4 11.6 17.4 0.0% 3.7%
TX-Pan Am 2 6 3.0 11.0 7.0 22.0 0.0% 0.2%
Chicago St 0 8 1.7 12.3 5.7 25.3 0.0% 0.6%

The 2016 WAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 WAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the WAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 WAC Tournament depend only partly on their WAC bracket seed. Winning the WAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 WAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better WAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the WAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse WAC tournament seed.

In addition, because WAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in WAC conference games, WAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the WAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 WAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the WAC bracket.