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2022 WAC tournament site: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
2022 WAC tournament dates: March 8th-12th, 2022
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2022 WAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2022 WAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the WAC tournament championship for every team in the 2022 WAC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
N Mex State | 14 | 4 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Seattle | 14 | 4 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ste F Austin | 14 | 4 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Grd Canyon | 13 | 5 | 13.9 | 5.1 | 23.9 | 8.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sam Hous St | 13 | 5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Abl Christian | 11 | 7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Utah Val St | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tarleton State | 9 | 9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Cal Baptist | 7 | 11 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dixie State | 6 | 12 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Chicago St | 3 | 15 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TX-Pan Am | 3 | 15 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lamar | 0 | 17 | 0.1 | 17.9 | 2.1 | 27.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2022 WAC Tournament depend only partly on their WAC bracket seed. Winning the WAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2022 WAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better WAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the WAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse WAC tournament seed.
In addition, because WAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in WAC conference games, WAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the WAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2022 WAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the WAC bracket.
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