NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.
The 2021 America East tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 America East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the America East tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 America East bracket.
The 2021 America East projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 America East Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the America East tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 America East Championship depend only partly on their America East bracket seed. Winning the America East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 America East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better America East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the America East Championship championship than a team with a worse America East tournament seed.
In addition, because America East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in America East conference games, America East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the America East bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 America East Championship than lower seeded teams in the America East bracket.