America East Championship Information

2016 America East tournament site: Campus Sites
2016 America East tournament dates: March 2nd, 6th & 12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Stony Brook as the most likely winner of the 2016 America East Championship. The second most likely team to top the America East bracket is Albany.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2016 America East tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 America East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the America East tournament championship for every team in the 2016 America East bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Stony Brook 0 0 14.5 1.5 23.3 5.7 76.7% 72.2%
Albany 0 0 11.4 4.6 20.6 10.4 11.4% 12.9%
Vermont 0 0 10.6 5.4 17.5 13.5 5.7% 7.1%
N Hampshire 0 0 10.5 5.5 19.0 10.0 5.7% 7.2%
Hartford 0 0 6.7 9.3 13.7 17.3 0.2% 0.4%
Massachusetts Lowell 0 0 5.7 10.3 10.1 18.9 0.1% 0.0%
Binghamton 0 0 5.0 11.0 8.7 20.3 0.1% 0.1%
Maine 0 0 4.5 11.5 7.9 21.1 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland BC 0 0 3.2 12.8 6.3 24.7 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 America East projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 America East Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the America East tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 America East Championship depend only partly on their America East bracket seed. Winning the America East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 America East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better America East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the America East Championship championship than a team with a worse America East tournament seed.

In addition, because America East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in America East conference games, America East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the America East bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 America East Championship than lower seeded teams in the America East bracket.