We'll send you our latest predictions and analysis.
This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2021-22 NCAA Basketball season.
To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2022-23 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2022 SEC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2022 SEC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SEC tournament championship
for every team in the 2022 SEC bracket.
A team's relative odds to win the 2022 SEC Tournament depend only partly on their SEC bracket seed. Winning the SEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2022 SEC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the SEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse SEC tournament seed.
In addition, because SEC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SEC conference games, SEC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SEC bracket can have better odds to win the 2022 SEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the SEC bracket.