SEC Tournament Information

2016 SEC tournament site: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
2016 SEC tournament dates: March 9th-13th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Kentucky as the most likely winner of the 2016 SEC Tournament. The second most likely team to top the SEC bracket is Texas A&M.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 SEC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 SEC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SEC tournament championship for every team in the 2016 SEC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

SEC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Texas A&M 7 3 13.1 4.9 24.1 6.9 42.6% 22.4%
Kentucky 7 3 12.3 5.7 22.3 8.7 21.3% 25.9%
LSU 8 2 11.9 6.1 18.9 12.1 12.9% 5.0%
S Carolina 7 3 11.6 6.4 24.6 6.4 14.2% 5.3%
Florida 6 4 11.5 6.5 20.5 10.5 6.6% 17.0%
Vanderbilt 5 5 10.5 7.5 18.5 12.5 1.5% 16.1%
Arkansas 5 5 10.2 7.8 17.2 13.8 0.6% 4.4%
Georgia 6 4 9.3 8.7 16.3 12.7 0.2% 1.5%
Mississippi 5 5 8.4 9.6 18.4 12.6 0.0% 0.7%
Tennessee 4 6 7.5 10.5 14.5 16.5 0.0% 0.7%
Alabama 4 6 6.9 11.1 15.9 14.1 0.0% 0.5%
Miss State 2 8 5.3 12.7 12.3 17.7 0.0% 0.3%
Auburn 3 7 5.1 12.9 11.1 18.9 0.0% 0.1%
Missouri 1 9 2.4 15.6 9.4 21.6 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 SEC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 SEC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the SEC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 SEC Tournament depend only partly on their SEC bracket seed. Winning the SEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 SEC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the SEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse SEC tournament seed.

In addition, because SEC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SEC conference games, SEC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SEC bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 SEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the SEC bracket.