Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Information

2021 MVC tournament site: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
2021 MVC tournament dates: March 4th-7th, 2021

When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2021 MVC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2021 MVC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MVC tournament championship for every team in the 2021 MVC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MVC

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Loyola-Chi 16 2 16.0 2.0 24.0 4.0 100.0% 100.0%
Drake 15 3 15.0 3.0 25.0 4.0 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St 12 6 12.0 6.0 17.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St 11 7 11.0 7.0 15.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Iowa 7 11 7.0 11.0 10.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 7 11 7.0 11.0 10.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 7 11 7.0 11.0 9.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 6 12 6.0 12.0 12.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Illinois 5 13 5.0 13.0 12.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St 4 14 4.0 14.0 7.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Missouri Valley Conference Tournament depend only partly on their MVC bracket seed. Winning the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 MVC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Missouri Valley Conference Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament championship than a team with a worse MVC tournament seed.

In addition, because MVC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MVC conference games, MVC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MVC bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Missouri Valley Conference Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MVC bracket.