Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Information

2019 MVC tournament site: Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO
2019 MVC tournament dates: March 7th-10th, 2019

These 2019 MVC tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2019 MVC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2019 MVC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MVC tournament championship for every team in the 2019 MVC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MVC

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Loyola-Chi 0 0 12.1 5.9 20.3 9.7 30.6% 25.2%
Valparaiso 0 0 11.6 6.4 18.3 9.7 24.9% 21.7%
Illinois St 0 0 10.8 7.2 17.7 11.3 16.6% 15.8%
S Illinois 0 0 9.5 8.5 16.4 13.6 8.6% 9.6%
Missouri St 0 0 9.3 8.7 17.3 12.7 6.2% 8.4%
N Iowa 0 0 9.2 8.8 14.9 14.1 7.0% 8.5%
Bradley 0 0 7.5 10.5 15.6 14.4 2.1% 3.6%
Indiana St 0 0 7.3 10.7 12.9 15.1 1.8% 3.2%
Drake 0 0 6.7 11.3 13.3 16.7 1.4% 2.6%
Evansville 0 0 6.0 12.0 12.3 18.7 0.6% 1.5%

The 2019 MVC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2019 MVC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MVC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2019 Missouri Valley Conference Tournament depend only partly on their MVC bracket seed. Winning the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2019 MVC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Missouri Valley Conference Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament championship than a team with a worse MVC tournament seed.

In addition, because MVC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MVC conference games, MVC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MVC bracket can have better odds to win the 2019 Missouri Valley Conference Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MVC bracket.