Summit League Championship Information

2018 Summit tournament site: Denny Sanford Premier Center, Sioux Falls, SD
2018 Summit tournament dates: March 3rd-6th, 2018

These 2018 Summit tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2018 Summit tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2018 Summit tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Summit tournament championship for every team in the 2018 Summit bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Summit

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
South Dakota 0 0 10.5 3.5 23.6 7.4 49.3% 40.1%
S Dakota St 0 0 9.8 4.2 21.3 9.7 32.4% 29.2%
N Dakota St 0 0 8.2 5.8 16.7 12.3 10.3% 13.4%
IPFW 0 0 7.3 6.7 16.8 13.2 5.3% 8.5%
W Illinois 0 0 5.6 8.4 15.0 12.0 1.1% 3.1%
Denver 0 0 5.6 8.4 11.9 16.1 0.9% 2.9%
Neb Omaha 0 0 4.8 9.2 9.3 20.7 0.4% 1.6%
Oral Roberts 0 0 4.3 9.7 10.2 20.8 0.2% 1.2%

The 2018 Summit projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2018 Summit Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Summit tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2018 Summit League Championship depend only partly on their Summit bracket seed. Winning the Summit League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2018 Summit bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Summit League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Summit League Championship championship than a team with a worse Summit tournament seed.

In addition, because Summit tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Summit conference games, Summit tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Summit bracket can have better odds to win the 2018 Summit League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Summit bracket.