Summit League Championship Information

2016 Summit tournament site: Sioux Falls Arena, Sioux Falls, SD
2016 Summit tournament dates: March 5th-8th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project S Dakota St as the most likely winner of the 2016 Summit League Championship. The second most likely team to top the Summit bracket is N Dakota St.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Summit tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Summit tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Summit tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Summit bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
S Dakota St 8 2 12.5 3.5 23.5 6.5 78.3% 44.2%
IPFW 8 3 10.9 5.1 21.9 9.1 15.4% 12.0%
Neb Omaha 7 4 9.6 6.4 17.6 12.4 2.6% 11.7%
N Dakota St 6 4 9.4 6.6 19.4 10.6 3.1% 17.1%
IUPUI 7 4 9.0 7.0 13.0 18.0 0.7% 2.7%
Denver 5 6 7.0 9.0 15.0 14.0 0.0% 3.8%
Oral Roberts 3 8 5.6 10.4 13.6 16.4 0.0% 5.4%
South Dakota 3 8 4.8 11.2 13.3 17.7 0.0% 2.3%
W Illinois 1 9 3.2 12.8 10.2 16.8 0.0% 0.8%

The 2016 Summit projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Summit Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Summit tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Summit League Championship depend only partly on their Summit bracket seed. Winning the Summit League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Summit bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Summit League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Summit League Championship championship than a team with a worse Summit tournament seed.

In addition, because Summit tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Summit conference games, Summit tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Summit bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Summit League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Summit bracket.