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This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2020-21 NCAA Basketball season.
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2021 Summit tournament site: Sanford Pentagon, Sioux Falls, SD 2021 Summit tournament dates: March 6th-9th, 2021
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2021 Summit tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Summit tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Summit tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Summit bracket.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Summit League Championship depend only partly on their Summit bracket seed. Winning the Summit League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Summit bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Summit League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Summit League Championship championship than a team with a worse Summit tournament seed.
In addition, because Summit tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Summit conference games, Summit tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Summit bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Summit League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Summit bracket.