2023 Big East tournament site: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
2023 Big East tournament dates: March 8th-11th, 2023
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | |||
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NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2023 Big East tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2023 Big East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big East tournament championship for every team in the 2023 Big East bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Marquette | 17 | 3 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Xavier | 15 | 5 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Creighton | 14 | 6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Providence | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Connecticut | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Villanova | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Seton Hall | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
St Johns | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Butler | 6 | 14 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
DePaul | 3 | 17 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Georgetown | 2 | 18 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2023 Big East Championship depend only partly on their Big East bracket seed. Winning the Big East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2023 Big East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big East Championship championship than a team with a worse Big East tournament seed.
In addition, because Big East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big East conference games, Big East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big East bracket can have better odds to win the 2023 Big East Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big East bracket.
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