Big East Championship Information

2016 Big East tournament site: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY
2016 Big East tournament dates: March 9th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Villanova as the most likely winner of the 2016 Big East Championship. The second most likely team to top the Big East bracket is Xavier.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Big East tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Big East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big East tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Big East bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Villanova 11 1 16.1 1.9 26.9 4.1 98.5% 51.1%
Xavier 9 3 12.5 5.5 24.5 5.5 1.5% 17.8%
Seton Hall 7 5 10.3 7.7 20.3 9.7 0.0% 4.4%
Creighton 7 5 10.1 7.9 19.1 11.9 0.0% 4.9%
Butler 6 6 9.8 8.2 20.8 9.2 0.0% 14.4%
Georgetown 7 5 9.5 8.5 16.5 14.5 0.0% 3.5%
Providence 6 6 9.4 8.6 21.4 9.6 0.0% 3.2%
Marquette 5 7 7.0 11.0 18.0 13.0 0.0% 0.6%
DePaul 2 10 4.3 13.7 10.3 19.7 0.0% 0.0%
St Johns 0 12 1.0 17.0 8.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 Big East projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Big East Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big East tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Big East Championship depend only partly on their Big East bracket seed. Winning the Big East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Big East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big East Championship championship than a team with a worse Big East tournament seed.

In addition, because Big East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big East conference games, Big East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big East bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Big East Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big East bracket.