Southern Bracket 2016 & Southern Tournament Predictions
Southern Conference Championship Information
2016 Southern tournament site: Asheville Civic Center, Asheville, NC
2016 Southern tournament dates: March 4th-7th, 2016
The values shown below were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.
| Seed | Team | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
- First Round - neutral site.
- Quarterfinals - neutral site.
- Semifinals - neutral site.
- Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2016 Southern tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Southern tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Southern tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Southern bracket.
Projected Conference Standings
Southern
| Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
| Chattanooga | 15 | 3 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| E Tenn St | 14 | 4 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Furman | 11 | 7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wofford | 11 | 7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NC-Grnsboro | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| W Carolina | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercer | 8 | 10 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samford | 4 | 14 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| VA Military | 4 | 14 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Citadel | 3 | 15 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Southern Conference Championship depend only partly on their Southern bracket seed. Winning the Southern Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Southern bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Southern Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Southern Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Southern tournament seed.
In addition, because Southern tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Southern conference games, Southern tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Southern bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Southern Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Southern bracket.