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Southern Bracket 2015 & Southern Tournament Predictions

Southern Conference Championship Information

2015 Southern tournament site: Asheville Civic Center, Asheville, NC
2015 Southern tournament dates: March 6th-9th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Southern Conference Championship, we projected Wofford as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Southern bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Chattanooga.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Southern tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Southern tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Southern tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Southern bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Southern CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Wofford 16 2 16.0 2.0 28.0 6.0 100.0% 100.0%
Chattanooga 15 3 15.0 3.0 22.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 12 6 12.0 6.0 18.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
W Carolina 9 9 9.0 9.0 15.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
E Tenn St 8 10 8.0 10.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
VA Military 7 11 7.0 11.0 11.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
NC-Grnsboro 6 12 6.0 12.0 11.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%
Citadel 6 12 6.0 12.0 11.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 6 12 6.0 12.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 5 13 5.0 13.0 11.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Southern Conference Championship depend only partly on their Southern bracket seed. Winning the Southern Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Southern bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Southern Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Southern Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Southern tournament seed.

In addition, because Southern tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Southern conference games, Southern tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Southern bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Southern Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Southern bracket.