Southern Conference Championship Information

2016 Southern tournament site: Asheville Civic Center, Asheville, NC
2016 Southern tournament dates: March 4th-7th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Chattanooga as the most likely winner of the 2016 Southern Conference Championship. The second most likely team to top the Southern bracket is Mercer.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Southern tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Southern tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Southern tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Southern bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Chattanooga 10 1 15.5 2.5 26.5 4.5 91.4% 43.4%
E Tenn St 8 3 12.5 5.5 19.5 11.5 4.4% 13.5%
Mercer 8 3 12.3 5.7 22.3 8.7 3.7% 17.7%
Furman 8 4 11.6 6.4 17.6 13.4 0.4% 11.4%
Wofford 7 4 11.2 6.8 15.2 15.8 0.1% 7.4%
NC-Grnsboro 5 6 7.8 10.2 11.8 19.2 0.0% 1.9%
W Carolina 4 7 7.0 11.0 12.0 19.0 0.0% 2.5%
Samford 2 10 4.7 13.3 13.7 17.3 0.0% 1.9%
Citadel 3 8 4.7 13.3 11.7 19.3 0.0% 0.1%
VA Military 1 10 2.8 15.2 7.8 21.2 0.0% 0.2%

The 2016 Southern projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Southern Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Southern tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Southern Conference Championship depend only partly on their Southern bracket seed. Winning the Southern Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Southern bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Southern Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Southern Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Southern tournament seed.

In addition, because Southern tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Southern conference games, Southern tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Southern bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Southern Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Southern bracket.