2025 Atlantic 10 tournament site: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
2025 Atlantic 10 tournament dates: March 12th-16th, 2025
These 2025 Atlantic 10 tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2025 Atlantic 10 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2025 Atlantic 10 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Atlantic 10 tournament championship for every team in the 2025 Atlantic 10 bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
VCU | 3 | 1 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 23.5 | 7.5 | 51.0% | 33.1% |
Geo Mason | 4 | 1 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 23.7% | 15.7% |
St Bonavent | 3 | 2 | 10.6 | 7.4 | 22.6 | 8.4 | 6.6% | 9.1% |
St Josephs | 2 | 2 | 10.6 | 7.4 | 19.6 | 11.4 | 6.7% | 9.9% |
Dayton | 1 | 3 | 10.4 | 7.6 | 20.4 | 10.6 | 4.2% | 16.1% |
Saint Louis | 3 | 1 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 16.3 | 14.7 | 1.9% | 2.4% |
Duquesne | 3 | 1 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 14.1 | 16.9 | 1.6% | 1.8% |
Davidson | 2 | 2 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 19.1 | 11.9 | 1.0% | 2.8% |
Rhode Island | 2 | 3 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 1.2% | 3.4% |
Geo Wshgtn | 2 | 2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 1.4% | 2.5% |
Loyola-Chi | 2 | 2 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 17.6 | 13.4 | 0.5% | 2.0% |
La Salle | 2 | 2 | 7.9 | 10.1 | 15.9 | 15.1 | 0.3% | 0.8% |
U Mass | 1 | 3 | 5.9 | 12.1 | 10.9 | 20.1 | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Richmond | 2 | 3 | 5.5 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 20.5 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Fordham | 0 | 4 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
The 2025 Atlantic 10 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2025 Atlantic 10 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Atlantic 10 tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2025 Atlantic 10 Championship depend only partly on their Atlantic 10 bracket seed. Winning the Atlantic 10 Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2025 Atlantic 10 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Atlantic 10 Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Atlantic 10 Championship championship than a team with a worse Atlantic 10 tournament seed.
In addition, because Atlantic 10 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Atlantic 10 conference games, Atlantic 10 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Atlantic 10 bracket can have better odds to win the 2025 Atlantic 10 Championship than lower seeded teams in the Atlantic 10 bracket.
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