Atlantic 10 Championship Information

2016 Atlantic 10 tournament site: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
2016 Atlantic 10 tournament dates: March 9th-13th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project VCU as the most likely winner of the 2016 Atlantic 10 Championship. The second most likely team to top the Atlantic 10 bracket is Dayton.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Atlantic 10 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Atlantic 10 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Atlantic 10 tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Atlantic 10 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Atlantic 10 CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
VCU 9 1 15.0 3.0 23.0 8.0 48.8% 28.6%
Dayton 10 1 14.4 3.6 24.4 5.6 34.7% 23.7%
St Josephs 9 2 14.1 3.9 25.1 5.9 15.4% 15.9%
St Bonavent 8 3 12.4 5.6 20.4 8.6 1.0% 5.9%
Geo Wshgtn 7 4 11.3 6.7 22.3 8.7 0.2% 9.9%
Rhode Island 6 5 9.8 8.2 17.8 13.2 0.0% 7.2%
Davidson 6 5 9.4 8.6 17.4 11.6 0.0% 2.7%
Richmond 5 6 8.8 9.2 16.8 13.2 0.0% 5.0%
Duquesne 5 6 7.8 10.2 17.8 13.2 0.0% 0.7%
Fordham 3 8 5.9 12.1 14.9 14.1 0.0% 0.2%
U Mass 2 8 4.9 13.1 11.9 18.1 0.0% 0.2%
Saint Louis 3 8 4.8 13.2 9.8 20.2 0.0% 0.0%
Geo Mason 2 9 4.3 13.7 10.3 20.7 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 1 10 3.1 14.9 7.1 21.9 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 Atlantic 10 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Atlantic 10 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Atlantic 10 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Atlantic 10 Championship depend only partly on their Atlantic 10 bracket seed. Winning the Atlantic 10 Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Atlantic 10 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Atlantic 10 Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Atlantic 10 Championship championship than a team with a worse Atlantic 10 tournament seed.

In addition, because Atlantic 10 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Atlantic 10 conference games, Atlantic 10 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Atlantic 10 bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Atlantic 10 Championship than lower seeded teams in the Atlantic 10 bracket.