Atlantic 10 Championship Information

2021 Atlantic 10 tournament site: Campus Sites
2021 Atlantic 10 tournament dates: March 3rd-6th & 14th, 2021

When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - home court of VCU.
  • Second Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - home court of VCU.
  • Championship Game - home court of Dayton.

The 2021 Atlantic 10 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2021 Atlantic 10 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Atlantic 10 tournament championship for every team in the 2021 Atlantic 10 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Atlantic 10

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
St Bonavent 11 4 11.0 4.0 15.0 4.0 100.0% 57.4%
VCU 10 4 10.0 4.0 19.0 6.0 0.0% 42.6%
Davidson 7 4 7.0 4.0 13.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Louis 6 4 6.0 4.0 14.0 6.0 0.0% 0.0%
U Mass 6 4 6.0 4.0 8.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
Geo Mason 8 6 8.0 6.0 13.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
Dayton 9 7 9.0 7.0 14.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
Richmond 6 5 6.0 5.0 13.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 7 7 7.0 7.0 9.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island 7 10 7.0 10.0 10.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Geo Wshgtn 3 5 3.0 5.0 5.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 6 11 6.0 11.0 9.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
St Josephs 3 9 3.0 9.0 5.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 2 11 2.0 11.0 2.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Atlantic 10 Championship depend only partly on their Atlantic 10 bracket seed. Winning the Atlantic 10 Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Atlantic 10 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Atlantic 10 Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Atlantic 10 Championship championship than a team with a worse Atlantic 10 tournament seed.

In addition, because Atlantic 10 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Atlantic 10 conference games, Atlantic 10 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Atlantic 10 bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Atlantic 10 Championship than lower seeded teams in the Atlantic 10 bracket.