Big West Tournament Information

2016 Big West tournament site: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
2016 Big West tournament dates: March 10th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Hawaii as the most likely winner of the 2016 Big West Tournament. The second most likely team to top the Big West bracket is UC Irvine.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Big West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Big West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big West tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Big West bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Hawaii 7 1 12.8 3.2 23.8 5.2 54.6% 32.8%
UC Irvine 7 1 12.2 3.8 23.2 8.8 37.4% 22.5%
Lg Beach St 6 3 10.8 5.2 16.8 14.2 8.0% 20.0%
UCSB 4 5 9.1 6.9 15.1 13.9 0.0% 17.1%
UC Davis 5 4 7.1 8.9 12.1 16.9 0.0% 1.6%
UC Riverside 4 6 5.7 10.3 14.7 17.3 0.0% 1.9%
Cal Poly 2 7 5.3 10.7 11.3 17.7 0.0% 3.1%
Cal St Nrdge 3 6 5.0 11.0 10.0 20.0 0.0% 0.6%
CS Fullerton 2 7 3.8 12.2 10.8 18.2 0.0% 0.5%

The 2016 Big West projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Big West Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big West tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Big West Tournament depend only partly on their Big West bracket seed. Winning the Big West Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Big West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big West Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big West Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big West tournament seed.

In addition, because Big West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big West conference games, Big West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big West bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Big West Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big West bracket.