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Big West Bracket 2015 & Big West Tournament Predictions

Big West Tournament Information

2015 Big West tournament site: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
2015 Big West tournament dates: March 12th-14th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Big West Tournament, we projected UCSB as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Big West bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was UC Irvine.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Big West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Big West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big West tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Big West bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big West CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
UC Davis 14 2 14.0 2.0 25.0 6.0 100.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 11 5 11.0 5.0 21.0 12.0 0.0% 100.0%
UCSB 11 5 11.0 5.0 19.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lg Beach St 10 6 10.0 6.0 16.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 8 8 8.0 8.0 22.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 7 9 7.0 9.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 6 10 6.0 10.0 13.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St Nrdge 4 12 4.0 12.0 9.0 24.0 0.0% 0.0%
CS Fullerton 1 15 1.0 15.0 9.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Big West Tournament depend only partly on their Big West bracket seed. Winning the Big West Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Big West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big West Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big West Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big West tournament seed.

In addition, because Big West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big West conference games, Big West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big West bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Big West Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big West bracket.