Mountain West Conference Championship Information

2015 Mountain West tournament site: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
2015 Mountain West tournament dates: March 11th-14th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Mountain West Conference Championship, we projected Boise State as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Mountain West bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was San Diego St.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of UNLV.
Quarterfinals - home court of UNLV.
Semifinals - home court of UNLV.
Championship Game - home court of UNLV.

The 2015 Mountain West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Mountain West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Mountain West tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Mountain West bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Mountain West CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 14 4 14.0 4.0 26.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Boise State 14 4 14.0 4.0 25.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0%
Colorado St 13 5 13.0 5.0 27.0 6.0 0.0% 0.0%
Utah State 11 7 11.0 7.0 18.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wyoming 11 7 11.0 7.0 24.0 9.0 0.0% 100.0%
Fresno St 10 8 10.0 8.0 15.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
UNLV 8 10 8.0 10.0 18.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico 7 11 7.0 11.0 15.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Air Force 6 12 6.0 12.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Nevada 5 13 5.0 13.0 9.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St 0 18 0.0 18.0 2.0 28.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Mountain West Conference Championship depend only partly on their Mountain West bracket seed. Winning the Mountain West Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Mountain West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Mountain West Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Mountain West Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Mountain West tournament seed.

In addition, because Mountain West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Mountain West conference games, Mountain West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Mountain West Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket.