Mountain West Conference Championship Information

2016 Mountain West tournament site: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
2016 Mountain West tournament dates: March 9th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project UNLV as the most likely winner of the 2016 Mountain West Conference Championship. The second most likely team to top the Mountain West bracket is San Diego St.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of UNLV.
Quarterfinals - home court of UNLV.
Semifinals - home court of UNLV.
Championship Game - home court of UNLV.

The 2016 Mountain West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Mountain West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Mountain West tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Mountain West bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Mountain West CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 11 1 15.1 2.9 22.1 8.9 96.0% 18.4%
New Mexico 7 4 11.9 6.1 18.9 12.1 3.1% 15.5%
Boise State 7 5 10.7 7.3 19.7 11.3 0.5% 14.9%
Fresno St 7 4 10.7 7.3 19.7 11.3 0.4% 4.9%
Nevada 6 5 9.7 8.3 17.7 12.3 0.0% 4.9%
Colorado St 6 5 9.2 8.8 17.2 13.8 0.0% 2.8%
UNLV 5 7 9.1 8.9 18.1 12.9 0.0% 36.1%
Wyoming 5 7 7.3 10.7 14.3 16.7 0.0% 1.0%
Utah State 4 8 7.2 10.8 15.2 13.8 0.0% 1.5%
San Jose St 3 9 4.1 13.9 9.1 20.9 0.0% 0.1%
Air Force 3 9 4.0 14.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 Mountain West projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Mountain West Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Mountain West tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Mountain West Conference Championship depend only partly on their Mountain West bracket seed. Winning the Mountain West Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Mountain West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Mountain West Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Mountain West Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Mountain West tournament seed.

In addition, because Mountain West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Mountain West conference games, Mountain West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Mountain West Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket.