NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - home court of UNLV.
Quarterfinals - home court of UNLV.
Semifinals - home court of UNLV.
Championship Game - home court of UNLV.
The 2021 Mountain West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Mountain West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Mountain West tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Mountain West bracket.
The 2021 Mountain West projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Mountain West Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Mountain West tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Mountain West Conference Championship depend only partly on their Mountain West bracket seed. Winning the Mountain West Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Mountain West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Mountain West Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Mountain West Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Mountain West tournament seed.
In addition, because Mountain West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Mountain West conference games, Mountain West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Mountain West Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket.