Mountain West Conference Championship Information

2018 Mountain West tournament site: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
2018 Mountain West tournament dates: March 7th-10th, 2018

When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - home court of UNLV.
  • Quarterfinals - home court of UNLV.
  • Semifinals - home court of UNLV.
  • Championship Game - home court of UNLV.

The 2018 Mountain West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2018 Mountain West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Mountain West tournament championship for every team in the 2018 Mountain West bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Mountain West

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Nevada 15 3 15.0 3.0 27.0 7.0 100.0% 0.0%
Boise State 13 5 13.0 5.0 23.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico 12 6 12.0 6.0 19.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St 11 7 11.0 7.0 21.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego St 11 7 11.0 7.0 22.0 10.0 0.0% 100.0%
Wyoming 10 8 10.0 8.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
UNLV 8 10 8.0 10.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Utah State 8 10 8.0 10.0 17.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Air Force 6 12 6.0 12.0 12.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado St 4 14 4.0 14.0 11.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St 1 17 1.0 17.0 4.0 26.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2018 Mountain West Conference Championship depend only partly on their Mountain West bracket seed. Winning the Mountain West Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2018 Mountain West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Mountain West Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Mountain West Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Mountain West tournament seed.

In addition, because Mountain West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Mountain West conference games, Mountain West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket can have better odds to win the 2018 Mountain West Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket.