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MAC Bracket 2015 & MAC Tournament Predictions

MAC Tournament Information

2015 MAC tournament site: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH & Campus Sites
2015 MAC tournament dates: March 9th & 11th-14th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 MAC Tournament, we projected Buffalo as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the MAC bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Central Mich.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 MAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 MAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAC tournament championship for every team in the 2015 MAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MAC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Kent State 12 6 12.0 6.0 21.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
Central Mich 12 6 12.0 6.0 23.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 12 6 12.0 6.0 23.0 9.0 0.0% 100.0%
Bowling Grn 11 7 11.0 7.0 20.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 11 7 11.0 7.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
W Michigan 10 8 10.0 8.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 9 9 9.0 9.0 21.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Illinois 8 10 8.0 10.0 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
E Michigan 8 10 8.0 10.0 21.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 8 10 8.0 10.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 5 13 5.0 13.0 10.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ball State 2 16 2.0 16.0 7.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 MAC Tournament depend only partly on their MAC bracket seed. Winning the MAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 MAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the MAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse MAC tournament seed.

In addition, because MAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAC conference games, MAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 MAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MAC bracket.