MAC Tournament Information

2016 MAC tournament site: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH & Campus Sites
2016 MAC tournament dates: March 7th, 10th-12th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Akron as the most likely winner of the 2016 MAC Tournament. The second most likely team to top the MAC bracket is Buffalo.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 MAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 MAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAC tournament championship for every team in the 2016 MAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MAC CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Akron 8 2 14.1 3.9 25.1 5.9 83.2% 35.6%
Buffalo 6 3 11.7 6.3 18.7 12.3 10.1% 14.1%
Kent State 6 3 10.7 7.3 19.7 11.3 4.3% 9.0%
Central Mich 6 4 10.3 7.7 17.3 13.7 1.3% 9.0%
Ball State 5 4 9.7 8.3 18.7 12.3 0.2% 5.4%
Toledo 4 5 9.1 8.9 18.1 12.9 0.3% 10.3%
N Illinois 5 4 9.1 8.9 20.1 10.9 0.5% 5.0%
Ohio 4 5 8.2 9.8 17.2 12.8 0.1% 3.8%
E Michigan 3 6 7.6 10.4 15.6 15.4 0.0% 4.7%
Bowling Grn 4 5 7.2 10.8 16.2 14.8 0.0% 1.4%
W Michigan 3 6 6.4 11.6 12.4 18.6 0.0% 1.5%
Miami (OH) 1 8 3.8 14.2 9.8 21.2 0.0% 0.3%

The 2016 MAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 MAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 MAC Tournament depend only partly on their MAC bracket seed. Winning the MAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 MAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the MAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse MAC tournament seed.

In addition, because MAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAC conference games, MAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 MAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MAC bracket.