AAC Championship Information

2019 American tournament site: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
2019 American tournament dates: March 14th-17th, 2019

When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2019 American tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2019 American tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the American tournament championship for every team in the 2019 American bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

American

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Houston 16 2 16.0 2.0 31.0 2.0 100.0% 63.6%
Cincinnati 14 4 14.0 4.0 27.0 6.0 0.0% 36.4%
Temple 13 5 13.0 5.0 23.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
Central FL 13 5 13.0 5.0 23.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Memphis 11 7 11.0 7.0 21.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wichita St 10 8 10.0 8.0 19.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Florida 8 10 8.0 10.0 19.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsa 8 10 8.0 10.0 18.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Connecticut 6 12 6.0 12.0 16.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Methodist 6 12 6.0 12.0 15.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
E Carolina 3 15 3.0 15.0 10.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane 0 18 0.0 18.0 4.0 27.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2019 AAC Championship depend only partly on their American bracket seed. Winning the AAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2019 American bracket. In some cases, the team with a better AAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the AAC Championship championship than a team with a worse American tournament seed.

In addition, because American tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in American conference games, American tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the American bracket can have better odds to win the 2019 AAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the American bracket.