AAC Championship Information

2016 American tournament site: Amway Center, Orlando, FL
2016 American tournament dates: March 10th-13th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Connecticut as the most likely winner of the 2016 AAC Championship. The second most likely team to top the American bracket is Cincinnati.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 American tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 American tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the American tournament championship for every team in the 2016 American bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

American CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
S Methodist 8 2 13.9 4.1 25.6 4.4 60.5% 0.0%
Connecticut 6 3 12.5 5.5 22.5 8.5 18.9% 39.1%
Cincinnati 7 4 12.1 5.9 22.1 8.9 9.7% 35.1%
Temple 8 3 11.9 6.1 18.1 11.9 10.0% 5.8%
Houston 6 4 10.1 7.9 20.1 9.9 0.5% 5.0%
Tulsa 6 4 10.0 8.0 18.0 12.0 0.3% 7.3%
Memphis 5 5 9.9 8.1 18.9 12.1 0.1% 7.1%
Central FL 5 5 7.2 10.8 13.2 15.8 0.0% 0.4%
E Carolina 2 7 4.9 13.1 12.9 18.1 0.0% 0.2%
S Florida 2 9 3.3 14.7 6.3 24.7 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane 1 10 3.1 14.9 10.1 20.9 0.0% 0.1%

The 2016 American projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 American Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the American tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 AAC Championship depend only partly on their American bracket seed. Winning the AAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 American bracket. In some cases, the team with a better AAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the AAC Championship championship than a team with a worse American tournament seed.

In addition, because American tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in American conference games, American tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the American bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 AAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the American bracket.