Patriot League Championship Information

2016 Patriot tournament site: Campus Sites
2016 Patriot tournament dates: March 1st, 3rd, 6th & 9th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Bucknell as the most likely winner of the 2016 Patriot League Championship. The second most likely team to top the Patriot bracket is Boston U.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2016 Patriot tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Patriot tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Patriot tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Patriot bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Bucknell 10 2 14.3 3.7 17.3 11.7 94.9% 52.8%
Boston U 7 5 10.8 7.2 17.8 13.2 2.2% 13.5%
Navy 7 5 10.4 7.6 19.4 11.6 1.2% 10.5%
Lehigh 6 5 9.8 8.2 11.8 17.2 0.4% 9.9%
Loyola-MD 7 5 9.8 8.2 10.8 18.2 0.5% 3.9%
Colgate 7 5 9.7 8.3 13.7 15.3 0.8% 4.5%
Army 4 8 7.5 10.5 16.5 13.5 0.0% 4.2%
American 5 7 7.5 10.5 9.5 19.5 0.0% 0.4%
Holy Cross 4 8 6.0 12.0 11.0 18.0 0.0% 0.2%
Lafayette 2 9 4.1 13.9 7.1 21.9 0.0% 0.1%

The 2016 Patriot projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Patriot Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Patriot tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Patriot League Championship depend only partly on their Patriot bracket seed. Winning the Patriot League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Patriot bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Patriot League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Patriot League Championship championship than a team with a worse Patriot tournament seed.

In addition, because Patriot tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Patriot conference games, Patriot tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Patriot bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Patriot League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Patriot bracket.