Horizon League Championship Information

2016 Horizon League tournament site: Joe Louis Arena, Detroit, MI
2016 Horizon League tournament dates: March 5th-8th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project Valparaiso as the most likely winner of the 2016 Horizon League Championship. The second most likely team to top the Horizon League bracket is Oakland.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 Horizon League tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Horizon League tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Horizon League tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Horizon League bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Valparaiso 11 1 16.1 1.9 26.1 4.9 99.2% 65.2%
Oakland 9 4 12.2 5.8 20.2 10.8 0.6% 18.8%
Wright State 9 4 11.4 6.6 17.4 13.6 0.1% 3.3%
WI-Milwkee 7 5 11.0 7.0 20.0 11.0 0.0% 6.2%
WI-Grn Bay 7 5 10.9 7.1 18.9 12.1 0.0% 5.0%
Detroit 6 7 7.9 10.1 13.9 15.1 0.0% 1.3%
N Kentucky 5 8 7.6 10.4 11.6 17.4 0.0% 0.0%
Youngs St 4 8 6.1 11.9 11.1 19.9 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St 2 10 3.8 14.2 8.8 22.2 0.0% 0.1%
IL-Chicago 2 10 3.0 15.0 5.0 24.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2016 Horizon League projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Horizon League Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Horizon League tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Horizon League Championship depend only partly on their Horizon League bracket seed. Winning the Horizon League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Horizon League bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Horizon League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Horizon League Championship championship than a team with a worse Horizon League tournament seed.

In addition, because Horizon League tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Horizon League conference games, Horizon League tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Horizon League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket.