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Horizon League Bracket 2015 & Horizon League Tournament Predictions

Horizon League Championship Information

2015 Horizon League tournament site: Campus Sites
2015 Horizon League tournament dates: March 3rd, 6th-7th & 10th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Horizon League Championship, we projected Valparaiso as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Horizon League bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was WI-Grn Bay.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - regular season champ.
Semifinals - regular season champ.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2015 Horizon League tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Horizon League tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Horizon League tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Horizon League bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Horizon League CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Valparaiso 13 3 13.0 3.0 28.0 5.0 100.0% 100.0%
WI-Grn Bay 12 4 12.0 4.0 24.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 11 5 11.0 5.0 16.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St 11 5 11.0 5.0 18.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
WI-Milwkee 9 7 9.0 7.0 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit 7 9 7.0 9.0 15.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
IL-Chicago 4 12 4.0 12.0 10.0 24.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wright State 3 13 3.0 13.0 11.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
Youngs St 2 14 2.0 14.0 11.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Horizon League Championship depend only partly on their Horizon League bracket seed. Winning the Horizon League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Horizon League bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Horizon League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Horizon League Championship championship than a team with a worse Horizon League tournament seed.

In addition, because Horizon League tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Horizon League conference games, Horizon League tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Horizon League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket.