NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
The 2021 Horizon League tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Horizon League tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Horizon League tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Horizon League bracket.
The 2021 Horizon League projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Horizon League Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Horizon League tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Horizon League Championship depend only partly on their Horizon League bracket seed. Winning the Horizon League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Horizon League bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Horizon League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Horizon League Championship championship than a team with a worse Horizon League tournament seed.
In addition, because Horizon League tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Horizon League conference games, Horizon League tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Horizon League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket.