NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions 2015

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Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
Massachusetts Lowell (6-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (5-8) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (3-5) 17% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (4-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (2-10) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Incarnate Word (8-1) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (4-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (5-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 S Dakota St (9-3) 22% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (6-5) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (6-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 64 SC Upstate (9-4) 44% 1% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (6-5) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (9-2) 32% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (4-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (6-6) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (4-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (3-7) 4% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (7-5) 21% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (0-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
15 59 NC Central (8-5) 65% 3% 0% 0%
Abilene Christian (4-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (5-5) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (4-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama (8-3) 10% 1% 0% 0%
LSU (8-2) 26% 2% 0% 0%
Miss State (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 16 Arkansas (8-2) 86% 27% 3% 0%
Mississippi (7-3) 15% 1% 0% 0%
S Carolina (7-3) 27% 3% 0% 0%
7 25 Florida (7-4) 86% 27% 4% 0%
10 40 Georgia (6-3) 51% 8% 1% 0%
Tennessee (5-4) 8% 1% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (7-3) 4% 0% 0% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (12-0) 100% 92% 64% 34%
14 57 Ste F Austin (9-3) 50% 2% 0% 0%
Texas State (6-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (5-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (6-4) 10% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (3-8) 3% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (4-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (7-4) 47% 2% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (4-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (4-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (6-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (5-7) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (4-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Savannah St (3-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (6-4) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (6-3) 29% 1% 0% 0%
Cornell (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (4-8) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Yale (9-4) 31% 1% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (5-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
14 56 Harvard (7-2) 41% 2% 0% 0%
U Penn (3-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (8-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wright State (8-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (8-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 27 Butler (8-3) 77% 17% 2% 0%
WI-Milwkee (5-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (3-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
10 37 WI-Grn Bay (9-2) 68% 5% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (6-6) 19% 1% 0% 0%
Detroit (6-6) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (8-4) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (5-4) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (5-6) 5% 0% 0% 0%
15 60 Coastal Car (9-3) 56% 1% 0% 0%
VA Military (5-6) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (5-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (8-3) 10% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (4-7) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (8-3) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (4-8) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (2-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 17 S Methodist (8-3) 94% 24% 2% 0%
LA Tech (8-3) 25% 1% 0% 0%
Rice (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (7-4) 51% 4% 0% 0%
Tulsa (6-5) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (9-2) 43% 4% 0% 0%
San Jose St (2-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
9 36 Georgetown (7-3) 64% 12% 1% 0%
Providence (9-3) 33% 4% 0% 0%
12 49 St Johns (9-1) 44% 5% 0% 0%
Rutgers (6-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (8-3) 10% 1% 0% 0%
12 47 Miami (FL) (9-2) 46% 5% 0% 0%
10 38 Connecticut (4-4) 66% 7% 0% 0%
VA Tech (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 32 Notre Dame (11-1) 65% 16% 2% 0%
2 5 Villanova (11-0) 100% 61% 15% 2%
6 22 W Virginia (10-1) 85% 26% 3% 0%
Syracuse (6-4) 32% 5% 0% 0%
Boston Col (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (9-2) 32% 3% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (7-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (6-6) 3% 0% 0% 0%
2 8 Gonzaga (11-1) 100% 72% 23% 5%
Loyola Mymt (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (7-5) 5% 0% 0% 0%
St Marys (6-3) 9% 1% 0% 0%
Portland (8-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (4-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
15 61 E Kentucky (6-4) 39% 2% 0% 0%
TN Tech (6-5) 4% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (7-3) 9% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (8-4) 24% 1% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (5-6) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (4-10) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (7-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (2-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (5-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (6-3) 9% 1% 0% 0%
5 19 Baylor (9-1) 85% 26% 3% 0%
Missouri (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (9-1) 5% 0% 0% 0%
3 9 Kansas (9-1) 100% 58% 14% 2%
Texas A&M (7-3) 26% 3% 0% 0%
Colorado (6-3) 36% 5% 0% 0%
5 18 Iowa State (9-1) 90% 35% 6% 1%
Kansas St (7-4) 14% 2% 0% 0%
3 10 Texas (10-1) 99% 62% 17% 3%
13 52 Oklahoma St (9-2) 44% 7% 1% 0%
5 20 Oklahoma (7-3) 86% 30% 5% 0%
Florida Intl (6-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (5-5) 5% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (4-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (4-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (7-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (6-5) 13% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (3-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (2-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (5-7) 21% 0% 0% 0%
14 58 N Mex State (4-8) 71% 3% 0% 0%
Idaho State (3-8) 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (4-8) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (5-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (4-5) 15% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (3-7) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (3-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (5-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
13 50 E Washingtn (8-4) 60% 3% 0% 0%
Wyoming (9-2) 20% 1% 0% 0%
4 14 Utah (8-2) 99% 48% 9% 1%
9 34 Colorado St (11-0) 62% 6% 0% 0%
New Mexico (8-3) 14% 1% 0% 0%
6 21 San Diego St (8-3) 88% 18% 1% 0%
UNLV (7-3) 19% 1% 0% 0%
8 30 BYU (9-3) 77% 14% 1% 0%
Air Force (6-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (4-6) 19% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (1-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 65 Vermont (5-6) 34% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (1-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (6-4) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (3-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (2-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (7-5) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (7-3) 20% 1% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (6-6) 22% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (6-4) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Drake (2-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 23 N Iowa (10-1) 87% 16% 1% 0%
Missouri St (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (4-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (9-4) 8% 1% 0% 0%
3 11 Wichita St (8-1) 98% 45% 7% 1%
S Illinois (7-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
11 43 Evansville (9-2) 49% 5% 0% 0%
Indiana St (4-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (5-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (1-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (6-6) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (3-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (2-10) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (4-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (6-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (5-8) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (1-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (8-5) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (0-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (0-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (4-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (2-8) 2% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (7-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
8 31 Old Dominion (9-1) 69% 7% 0% 0%
15 62 Hofstra (7-3) 33% 2% 0% 0%
4 15 VCU (8-3) 98% 36% 4% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (5-3) 19% 1% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (6-3) 20% 1% 0% 0%
Towson (7-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (4-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (9-1) 44% 5% 0% 0%
13 51 Wofford (9-2) 53% 2% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (5-6) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (2-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (6-2) 8% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (4-8) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (6-5) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (6-6) 9% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (4-8) 3% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (6-2) 20% 0% 0% 0%
App State (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (8-4) 19% 1% 0% 0%
Campbell (5-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (5-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (4-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (3-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (5-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
11 44 Georgia St (7-3) 77% 6% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (7-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (6-5) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (5-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (6-5) 12% 1% 0% 0%
Fordham (3-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (7-3) 39% 4% 0% 0%
St Josephs (6-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (7-2) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Temple (7-4) 20% 1% 0% 0%
Duquesne (4-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (8-2) 27% 2% 0% 0%
7 26 Xavier (8-3) 76% 19% 2% 0%
La Salle (6-5) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (6-4) 16% 1% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (6-3) 36% 4% 0% 0%
Alabama St (3-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (3-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (2-10) 17% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (1-10) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (2-9) 12% 0% 0% 0%
16 63 TX Southern (2-8) 53% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (1-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (1-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (1-9) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (3-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (4-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (7-4) 11% 0% 0% 0%
11 42 Buffalo (7-2) 59% 4% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (3-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (8-2) 4% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (4-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (9-2) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (6-3) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (7-4) 37% 2% 0% 0%
W Michigan (6-4) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (3-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (8-1) 18% 1% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (3-6) 5% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 St Fran (PA) (6-4) 30% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (2-8) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (5-5) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (3-7) 8% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (4-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (3-6) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (5-5) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (6-4) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (2-7) 4% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (4-7) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (4-8) 2% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (4-8) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (12-2) 22% 1% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (4-6) 11% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (3-8) 2% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (4-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (2-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (3-10) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (5-5) 6% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (8-1) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (5-7) 33% 1% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (6-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
13 54 UCSB (5-5) 50% 4% 0% 0%
Utah State (6-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (3-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (5-5) 20% 1% 0% 0%
Idaho (5-5) 7% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (5-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (8-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (7-3) 23% 0% 0% 0%
Army (8-2) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (3-8) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (3-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (4-5) 11% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 American (7-4) 33% 1% 0% 0%
Bucknell (5-6) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (5-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
1 3 Wisconsin (10-1) 100% 81% 37% 11%
Purdue (8-4) 17% 2% 0% 0%
12 48 Iowa (8-4) 47% 9% 1% 0%
Michigan (6-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (11-1) 3% 0% 0% 0%
3 12 Ohio State (9-2) 99% 63% 19% 4%
8 29 Michigan St (8-4) 75% 22% 3% 0%
12 46 Indiana (9-2) 47% 8% 1% 0%
9 33 Illinois (9-3) 64% 15% 2% 0%
9 35 Minnesota (9-2) 58% 13% 2% 0%
Northwestern (7-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (6-4) 14% 1% 0% 0%
Tulane (9-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (11-0) 8% 1% 0% 0%
UAB (4-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (6-4) 44% 4% 0% 0%
E Carolina (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 6 Louisville (10-0) 100% 71% 25% 6%
Houston (5-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
10 39 Cincinnati (7-3) 54% 5% 0% 0%
Charlotte (6-5) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (8-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (8-3) 21% 2% 0% 0%
USC (7-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (8-4) 35% 4% 0% 0%
Oregon St (8-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
11 41 Stanford (6-3) 48% 7% 1% 0%
12 45 California (10-1) 49% 6% 0% 0%
7 28 Washington (10-0) 69% 11% 1% 0%
Arizona St (6-5) 5% 0% 0% 0%
2 7 Arizona (12-0) 100% 63% 17% 3%
Florida St (6-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
1 4 Virginia (11-0) 100% 70% 23% 5%
Clemson (6-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
6 24 Maryland (11-1) 82% 21% 2% 0%
13 53 NC State (9-3) 42% 6% 0% 0%
1 2 Duke (10-0) 100% 85% 45% 16%
Wake Forest (5-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (8-2) 8% 0% 0% 0%
4 13 N Carolina (8-3) 100% 63% 18% 4%
Fairfield (4-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (3-7) 4% 0% 0% 0%
14 55 Iona (6-4) 48% 3% 0% 0%
Rider (6-6) 5% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (4-7) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (3-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (6-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (3-6) 21% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (1-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (1-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%

Most Likely NCAA Tournament Champs

Team Win It All
Kentucky 34.1%
Duke 15.7%
Wisconsin 10.5%
Louisville 5.7%
Gonzaga 5.1%

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1-4 Seeds With Worst Sweet 16 Odds

Team Sweet 16 %
Wichita St 45.1%
Utah 47.6%
Kansas 57.9%
Villanova 60.7%
Texas 61.9%

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Seeds Of 4+ With Best Final Four Odds

Team Final Four %
Utah 8.9%
Iowa State 5.9%
Oklahoma 4.6%
Florida 4.5%
VCU 4.3%

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Seeds Of 10+ With Best Sweet 16 Odds

Team Sweet 16 %
NC State 6.0%
Georgia St 5.9%
UCLA 3.7%
TX El Paso 3.7%
UCSB 3.6%

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Odds To Win Championship - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Kentucky 34.1% 8.8%
Virginia 4.7% 2.1%
Texas 3.0% 0.4%
Arizona 2.6% 0.3%
VCU 0.3% 0.2%

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Odds To Win Championship - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Duke 15.7% -8.9%
Louisville 5.7% -0.9%
Michigan St 0.3% -0.5%
Wichita St 0.7% -0.4%
Wisconsin 10.5% -0.3%

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Odds To Make Title Game - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Kentucky 47.9% 8.2%
Virginia 11.0% 4.4%
Texas 7.6% 0.9%
VCU 1.3% 0.8%
Arizona 6.9% 0.7%

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Odds To Make Title Game - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Duke 28.4% -10.1%
Michigan St 1.1% -1.3%
Louisville 12.5% -1.2%
Wichita St 2.2% -1.0%
Ohio State 9.1% -0.5%

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Odds To Make Final 4 - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Virginia 23.1% 7.8%
Kentucky 63.8% 7.3%
VCU 4.3% 2.4%
Texas 17.2% 1.6%
Arizona 16.6% 1.6%

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Odds To Make Final 4 - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Duke 45.3% -9.8%
Michigan St 3.3% -3.0%
Wichita St 6.7% -2.2%
Louisville 25.0% -1.5%
Illinois 1.8% -1.1%

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Odds To Make Elite 8 - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Virginia 43.2% 11.1%
VCU 12.9% 6.4%
Kentucky 79.7% 5.3%
Notre Dame 7.1% 3.6%
Arizona 35.3% 2.6%

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Odds To Make Elite 8 - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Duke 65.7% -7.5%
Michigan St 9.0% -6.3%
Wichita St 19.0% -3.9%
Miami (FL) 1.4% -3.1%
San Diego St 5.2% -3.0%

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Odds To Make Sweet 16 - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
VCU 36.0% 14.9%
Virginia 70.1% 11.2%
Notre Dame 16.5% 7.9%
N Iowa 15.7% 5.3%
Minnesota 13.4% 4.9%

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Odds To Make Sweet 16 - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Michigan St 21.6% -11.7%
Miami (FL) 5.2% -8.6%
San Diego St 18.2% -7.3%
Butler 17.1% -5.0%
Illinois 14.6% -4.7%

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Odds To Make Round Of 32 - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
VCU 70.9% 18.7%
Notre Dame 42.2% 16.9%
N Iowa 47.1% 12.8%
Washington 35.5% 12.1%
Indiana 23.6% 11.3%

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Odds To Make Round Of 32 - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Miami (FL) 19.5% -19.4%
Michigan St 49.4% -14.3%
Harvard 12.3% -12.7%
San Diego St 50.0% -8.5%
Alabama 3.0% -7.8%

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Odds To Make Round Of 64 - 1 Week Gains

Team Now Change
Memphis 41.3% 21.7%
Notre Dame 63.9% 21.2%
Washington 67.7% 19.6%
Indiana 44.7% 19.3%
Georgia 48.8% 14.6%

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Odds To Make Round Of 64 - 1 Week Drops

Team Now Change
Miami (FL) 42.7% -27.2%
Harvard 39.5% -21.0%
Alabama 8.7% -16.0%
Bowling Grn 5.9% -14.3%
UCLA 31.0% -13.3%

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