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Memphis Tigers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Memphis bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

40.3%

Automatic Bid

11.5%

At Large Bid

28.8%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (5.6%)

Final Four

0.4%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.5%
24 96.0%
23 76.4%
22 48.0%
21 18.1%
20 4.9%
19 1.3%
18 0.7%
17 0.9%
OVERALL 40.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 0.2%
2 1.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 0.1%
4 2.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.0%
6 2.5% 0.0%
7 5.0% 0.0%
8 5.6% 0.0%
9 5.0% 0.0%
10 4.2% 0.0%
11 3.7% 0.0%
12 3.5% 0.0%
13 1.9% 0.0%
14 0.8% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.