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Memphis Tigers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Memphis bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

55.8%

Automatic Bid

14.1%

At Large Bid

41.8%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (6.4%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.5%
23 97.8%
22 83.8%
21 54.5%
20 21.3%
19 4.7%
18 0.6%
17 1.1%
16 0.0%
15 0.7%
OVERALL 55.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.0% 0.8%
2 4.7% 0.3%
3 5.6% 0.2%
4 5.1% 0.1%
5 3.8% 0.0%
6 3.6% 0.1%
7 6.0% 0.0%
8 6.4% 0.0%
9 5.3% 0.0%
10 4.4% 0.0%
11 3.6% 0.0%
12 3.2% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.