Memphis Tigers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

38.6%

Automatic Bid

9.5%

At Large Bid

29.1%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (10.6%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 97.9%
22 82.3%
21 46.8%
20 10.3%
19 1.0%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 38.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.3% 0.0%
6 0.7% 0.0%
7 1.3% 0.0%
8 2.2% 0.0%
9 3.5% 0.0%
10 5.0% 0.0%
11 7.1% 0.0%
12 10.6% 0.0%
13 6.2% 0.0%
14 1.4% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.