Memphis Tigers NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

44.3%

Automatic Bid

12.5%

At Large Bid

31.9%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.3%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 98.8%
23 87.7%
22 53.4%
21 19.2%
20 3.3%
19 0.8%
18 0.3%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 44.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.2% -
4 0.7% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.0%
6 1.8% 0.0%
7 3.5% 0.0%
8 5.1% 0.0%
9 5.9% 0.0%
10 6.1% 0.0%
11 6.5% 0.0%
12 7.3% 0.0%
13 4.2% 0.0%
14 1.5% 0.0%
15 0.3% 0.0%
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.