NCAA Bracket Predictions Trends

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Odds To Win Championship

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Ohio State 4.0% 3.3% 0.7%
N Carolina 4.1% 3.8% 0.2%
Arizona 7.2% 7.1% 0.2%
Louisville 2.8% 2.7% 0.2%
Oklahoma 1.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Duke 8.5% 8.4% 0.1%
Villanova 2.8% 2.7% 0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Kentucky 33.6% 34.7% -1.1%
Utah 1.8% 2.3% -0.6%
Gonzaga 6.8% 7.2% -0.4%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Arizona 7.2% 4.8% 2.4%
Ohio State 4.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Kansas 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Villanova 2.8% 2.3% 0.5%
Louisville 2.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Oklahoma 1.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Notre Dame 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Kentucky 33.6% 35.3% -1.7%
Virginia 8.1% 9.4% -1.3%
N Carolina 4.1% 4.9% -0.9%
Texas 0.8% 1.4% -0.6%
Duke 8.5% 8.9% -0.4%
Utah 1.8% 2.1% -0.3%
Gonzaga 6.8% 7.1% -0.3%
Iowa State 0.7% 0.9% -0.2%
Maryland 0.1% 0.3% -0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 7.2% 3.4% 3.8%
Kentucky 33.6% 30.2% 3.5%
Virginia 8.1% 5.5% 2.6%
Kansas 2.3% 1.1% 1.2%
Notre Dame 1.0% 0.6% 0.4%
Wichita St 0.6% 0.3% 0.4%
Wisconsin 9.5% 9.3% 0.3%
Texas 0.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Butler 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Utah 1.8% 1.6% 0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Duke 8.5% 16.0% -7.4%
Ohio State 4.0% 5.1% -1.2%
Gonzaga 6.8% 7.9% -1.1%
N Carolina 4.1% 4.9% -0.8%
Villanova 2.8% 3.3% -0.5%
Oklahoma 1.3% 1.8% -0.5%
Michigan St 0.4% 0.7% -0.3%
W Virginia 0.7% 1.0% -0.3%
Florida 0.2% 0.4% -0.3%
Arkansas 0.1% 0.3% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Ohio State 8.6% 7.4% 1.3%
N Carolina 9.2% 8.7% 0.4%
Oklahoma 3.5% 3.3% 0.2%
Louisville 6.8% 6.6% 0.2%
Michigan St 1.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Villanova 7.1% 6.9% 0.1%
Kansas 6.2% 6.1% 0.1%
Arizona 15.8% 15.7% 0.1%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Utah 4.7% 6.0% -1.3%
Kentucky 46.1% 47.1% -1.1%
Gonzaga 14.1% 14.7% -0.6%
Maryland 0.6% 0.8% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Arizona 15.8% 11.6% 4.2%
Kansas 6.2% 4.3% 1.8%
Ohio State 8.6% 7.1% 1.6%
Villanova 7.1% 6.1% 0.9%
Louisville 6.8% 5.9% 0.9%
Notre Dame 3.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Oklahoma 3.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Butler 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Xavier 0.7% 0.4% 0.3%
Stanford 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Virginia 17.5% 19.8% -2.2%
Kentucky 46.1% 48.0% -1.9%
N Carolina 9.2% 10.8% -1.6%
Texas 2.4% 3.8% -1.4%
Duke 16.8% 17.6% -0.8%
Gonzaga 14.1% 14.9% -0.8%
Utah 4.7% 5.4% -0.8%
Iowa State 2.2% 2.8% -0.5%
Maryland 0.6% 1.0% -0.4%
Wichita St 2.1% 2.3% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 15.8% 8.3% 7.5%
Virginia 17.5% 12.4% 5.1%
Kansas 6.2% 3.2% 3.0%
Kentucky 46.1% 43.4% 2.7%
Notre Dame 3.1% 1.9% 1.2%
Wichita St 2.1% 1.1% 1.1%
Butler 0.9% 0.4% 0.5%
Wisconsin 18.7% 18.2% 0.5%
Texas 2.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Stanford 0.6% 0.2% 0.4%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Duke 16.8% 28.1% -11.4%
Ohio State 8.6% 10.8% -2.1%
Gonzaga 14.1% 16.1% -2.0%
N Carolina 9.2% 10.4% -1.3%
Oklahoma 3.5% 4.8% -1.2%
Villanova 7.1% 8.3% -1.2%
Michigan St 1.2% 2.0% -0.9%
Florida 0.6% 1.4% -0.8%
W Virginia 2.2% 2.9% -0.7%
Arkansas 0.4% 1.0% -0.6%

Odds To Make Final 4

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Ohio State 17.2% 15.1% 2.2%
N Carolina 18.7% 18.1% 0.6%
Michigan St 3.3% 2.8% 0.5%
Oklahoma 8.7% 8.2% 0.5%
Louisville 14.9% 14.5% 0.4%
Kansas 15.4% 15.0% 0.3%
Villanova 16.6% 16.3% 0.3%
Wisconsin 34.2% 34.0% 0.2%
Notre Dame 8.3% 8.1% 0.1%
Texas 6.3% 6.2% 0.1%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Utah 11.2% 13.6% -2.4%
Gonzaga 26.8% 28.6% -1.8%
Kentucky 61.1% 62.2% -1.1%
Maryland 2.3% 2.9% -0.6%
BYU 1.0% 1.2% -0.2%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Arizona 30.6% 24.9% 5.7%
Kansas 15.4% 11.2% 4.2%
Ohio State 17.2% 14.7% 2.5%
Notre Dame 8.3% 6.1% 2.2%
Louisville 14.9% 13.1% 1.8%
Villanova 16.6% 14.9% 1.7%
Oklahoma 8.7% 7.2% 1.4%
Xavier 2.4% 1.6% 0.8%
Stanford 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Butler 3.1% 2.2% 0.8%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Texas 6.3% 9.6% -3.2%
N Carolina 18.7% 21.4% -2.7%
Virginia 32.5% 35.1% -2.6%
Gonzaga 26.8% 29.2% -2.4%
Kentucky 61.1% 63.1% -2.0%
Utah 11.2% 12.8% -1.6%
Maryland 2.3% 3.5% -1.2%
Duke 30.7% 31.8% -1.2%
Iowa State 6.4% 7.6% -1.1%
NC State 0.3% 0.9% -0.6%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 30.6% 18.8% 11.9%
Virginia 32.5% 25.5% 7.0%
Kansas 15.4% 8.8% 6.6%
Notre Dame 8.3% 5.4% 2.9%
Wichita St 6.3% 3.7% 2.7%
Kentucky 61.1% 59.3% 1.8%
Butler 3.1% 1.5% 1.5%
Stanford 2.3% 1.0% 1.4%
Georgetown 1.8% 0.8% 0.9%
Iowa State 6.4% 5.5% 0.9%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Duke 30.7% 44.5% -13.8%
Gonzaga 26.8% 31.1% -4.3%
Ohio State 17.2% 20.9% -3.7%
Oklahoma 8.7% 11.8% -3.2%
Villanova 16.6% 18.9% -2.4%
Michigan St 3.3% 5.6% -2.2%
Florida 1.8% 4.0% -2.2%
W Virginia 6.2% 8.0% -1.8%
Arkansas 1.7% 3.5% -1.8%
N Carolina 18.7% 20.4% -1.7%

Odds To Make Elite 8

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Ohio State 31.4% 28.2% 3.2%
Michigan St 8.5% 7.3% 1.2%
Louisville 30.5% 29.6% 0.8%
Oklahoma 19.2% 18.5% 0.8%
N Carolina 36.0% 35.2% 0.8%
Notre Dame 20.7% 20.3% 0.4%
UCLA 0.6% 0.3% 0.4%
Villanova 35.6% 35.3% 0.3%
Cincinnati 4.4% 4.2% 0.3%
VCU 16.8% 16.5% 0.3%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Utah 24.6% 29.2% -4.6%
Gonzaga 49.2% 51.2% -2.0%
Maryland 7.3% 8.9% -1.6%
Kentucky 77.2% 78.0% -0.7%
BYU 3.2% 3.8% -0.6%
Dayton 1.4% 1.8% -0.4%
Connecticut 1.1% 1.5% -0.3%
Oklahoma St 3.7% 3.9% -0.2%
Duke 52.0% 52.2% -0.2%
Iowa State 16.9% 17.0% -0.1%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Kansas 33.9% 26.5% 7.4%
Arizona 51.9% 46.1% 5.8%
Notre Dame 20.7% 14.9% 5.8%
Ohio State 31.4% 27.5% 3.9%
Louisville 30.5% 26.6% 3.8%
Villanova 35.6% 33.1% 2.5%
Xavier 7.6% 5.2% 2.5%
Stanford 7.4% 5.0% 2.4%
Butler 9.1% 6.9% 2.1%
Oklahoma 19.2% 17.4% 1.8%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Texas 14.9% 21.7% -6.8%
N Carolina 36.0% 39.8% -3.8%
Utah 24.6% 28.1% -3.5%
Maryland 7.3% 10.4% -3.1%
Virginia 53.7% 56.1% -2.4%
Gonzaga 49.2% 51.6% -2.3%
Wichita St 17.3% 19.4% -2.1%
Iowa State 16.9% 18.9% -2.1%
NC State 1.1% 3.1% -2.0%
San Diego St 4.3% 5.7% -1.5%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 51.9% 38.5% 13.4%
Kansas 33.9% 21.8% 12.1%
Virginia 53.7% 46.6% 7.1%
Notre Dame 20.7% 13.7% 7.0%
Wichita St 17.3% 11.5% 5.8%
Butler 9.1% 5.0% 4.1%
Stanford 7.4% 3.5% 4.0%
Georgetown 5.8% 3.0% 2.8%
Iowa State 16.9% 14.2% 2.7%
Indiana 3.6% 1.4% 2.2%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Duke 52.0% 64.5% -12.5%
Oklahoma 19.2% 26.8% -7.6%
Ohio State 31.4% 38.2% -6.8%
Florida 4.9% 10.6% -5.7%
Michigan St 8.5% 13.6% -5.1%
Arkansas 5.7% 10.7% -5.0%
Gonzaga 49.2% 53.6% -4.4%
W Virginia 15.7% 19.8% -4.0%
Illinois 2.1% 6.1% -4.0%
Villanova 35.6% 39.1% -3.5%

Odds To Make Sweet 16

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Ohio State 56.4% 51.5% 5.0%
Michigan St 19.4% 16.9% 2.5%
UCLA 2.4% 1.1% 1.4%
Cincinnati 16.7% 15.4% 1.3%
Oklahoma 40.5% 39.4% 1.1%
Louisville 57.5% 56.6% 0.9%
Georgetown 16.9% 16.2% 0.8%
Iowa 10.9% 10.2% 0.7%
Davidson 8.6% 7.9% 0.7%
Notre Dame 47.2% 46.6% 0.6%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Utah 51.8% 57.6% -5.8%
Maryland 22.1% 25.8% -3.8%
Dayton 5.1% 6.7% -1.6%
Gonzaga 74.2% 75.5% -1.2%
BYU 8.7% 9.9% -1.1%
Connecticut 4.8% 5.9% -1.1%
Wichita St 43.9% 44.5% -0.6%
Iowa State 39.8% 40.4% -0.6%
Oklahoma St 10.8% 11.3% -0.5%
St Marys 3.2% 3.7% -0.5%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Notre Dame 47.2% 33.8% 13.5%
Kansas 61.7% 53.7% 8.1%
Xavier 22.3% 15.2% 7.1%
Stanford 22.4% 15.5% 7.0%
Ohio State 56.4% 49.7% 6.7%
Louisville 57.5% 51.9% 5.6%
Butler 25.1% 19.8% 5.2%
Arizona 75.7% 71.0% 4.7%
LSU 7.8% 4.4% 3.5%
Villanova 63.2% 60.5% 2.7%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Texas 32.9% 45.4% -12.5%
Maryland 22.1% 29.8% -7.8%
NC State 3.7% 9.2% -5.5%
San Diego St 13.7% 19.2% -5.5%
Indiana 11.0% 15.3% -4.2%
Utah 51.8% 55.7% -3.9%
Iowa 10.9% 14.2% -3.3%
BYU 8.7% 11.8% -3.1%
N Carolina 63.9% 66.8% -2.9%
Wichita St 43.9% 46.6% -2.7%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Notre Dame 47.2% 31.5% 15.7%
Kansas 61.7% 47.7% 14.0%
Stanford 22.4% 10.9% 11.5%
Butler 25.1% 14.4% 10.7%
Wichita St 43.9% 33.9% 10.0%
Arizona 75.7% 65.9% 9.7%
Georgetown 16.9% 9.5% 7.5%
Iowa State 39.8% 32.8% 7.0%
Indiana 11.0% 4.7% 6.3%
LSU 7.8% 1.5% 6.3%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Florida 12.3% 25.0% -12.7%
Oklahoma 40.5% 53.1% -12.6%
Michigan St 19.4% 30.9% -11.5%
Arkansas 17.6% 28.8% -11.2%
Illinois 5.3% 15.1% -9.8%
Old Dominion 4.1% 13.7% -9.6%
Ohio State 56.4% 64.9% -8.5%
Duke 76.0% 84.0% -8.0%
BYU 8.7% 15.8% -7.0%
W Virginia 37.1% 43.5% -6.4%

Odds To Make Round Of 32

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
UCLA 9.9% 4.1% 5.8%
Michigan St 45.2% 40.8% 4.4%
Ohio State 84.4% 80.8% 3.6%
Cincinnati 51.2% 47.9% 3.3%
Iowa 33.7% 31.4% 2.3%
Georgia St 9.5% 8.1% 1.4%
Miami (FL) 22.2% 21.2% 1.0%
Oklahoma 73.0% 72.0% 1.0%
Georgetown 48.4% 47.4% 0.9%
Davidson 29.0% 28.1% 0.9%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Dayton 20.6% 26.2% -5.5%
Maryland 56.7% 61.1% -4.4%
Connecticut 17.7% 21.7% -4.1%
BYU 26.4% 30.2% -3.8%
Utah 82.6% 86.2% -3.6%
St Marys 15.6% 18.2% -2.7%
TX El Paso 6.0% 7.1% -1.0%
Mississippi 24.1% 25.1% -1.0%
W Kentucky 2.5% 3.5% -1.0%
Purdue 5.3% 6.3% -1.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Xavier 54.5% 40.4% 14.1%
LSU 30.8% 17.6% 13.2%
Stanford 56.7% 44.0% 12.7%
Notre Dame 80.6% 68.1% 12.5%
Texas A&M 18.1% 7.7% 10.4%
Butler 60.9% 52.1% 8.8%
Georgia 39.0% 31.4% 7.6%
N Iowa 48.3% 41.0% 7.2%
Kansas 90.4% 85.0% 5.4%
Ohio State 84.4% 79.0% 5.3%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
NC State 10.7% 28.0% -17.3%
Texas 63.8% 76.6% -12.8%
Maryland 56.7% 65.5% -8.8%
BYU 26.4% 35.1% -8.8%
San Diego St 42.9% 51.6% -8.7%
Indiana 36.3% 44.6% -8.2%
Harvard 9.5% 17.7% -8.2%
Iowa 33.7% 41.0% -7.3%
Washington 5.1% 12.3% -7.2%
Geo Wshgtn 15.9% 23.0% -7.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
LSU 30.8% 6.8% 24.1%
Stanford 56.7% 33.5% 23.2%
Indiana 36.3% 14.7% 21.6%
Georgetown 48.4% 28.3% 20.1%
Butler 60.9% 40.9% 20.0%
Tulsa 24.9% 5.0% 19.8%
Colorado St 29.5% 11.5% 17.9%
Georgia 39.0% 21.4% 17.6%
Providence 44.5% 29.3% 15.3%
Notre Dame 80.6% 66.3% 14.3%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Illinois 15.2% 40.3% -25.1%
Florida 31.3% 56.2% -25.0%
Old Dominion 20.8% 45.6% -24.8%
BYU 26.4% 47.7% -21.4%
Connecticut 17.7% 36.8% -19.1%
Michigan St 45.2% 63.1% -17.9%
S Carolina 2.1% 19.5% -17.4%
Syracuse 9.8% 26.8% -17.0%
Minnesota 2.1% 18.5% -16.4%
Geo Wshgtn 15.9% 29.4% -13.5%

Odds To Make Round Of 64

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
UCLA 25.4% 11.1% 14.3%
Michigan St 70.0% 64.3% 5.7%
GA Southern 19.2% 14.6% 4.6%
Cincinnati 94.3% 90.8% 3.5%
Montana 13.8% 10.5% 3.3%
Iowa 61.2% 58.6% 2.7%
Georgia St 47.9% 45.3% 2.6%
Memphis 30.5% 28.2% 2.4%
Fla Gulf Cst 28.8% 26.5% 2.3%
LA Tech 28.2% 26.2% 2.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Dayton 48.9% 58.8% -9.9%
Connecticut 49.1% 57.0% -7.9%
St Marys 43.1% 48.2% -5.1%
BYU 51.0% 55.7% -4.7%
LA Lafayette 13.9% 17.8% -3.9%
W Kentucky 14.3% 17.6% -3.4%
Holy Cross 2.3% 4.7% -2.4%
TX-Arlington 7.7% 9.9% -2.3%
Mississippi 50.2% 52.1% -1.9%
UCSB 22.2% 24.1% -1.9%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
LSU 65.8% 39.6% 26.2%
Texas A&M 42.5% 19.2% 23.3%
Xavier 85.9% 68.5% 17.4%
Georgia 74.7% 60.6% 14.0%
Tulsa 71.1% 58.1% 13.0%
Stanford 90.8% 78.0% 12.8%
Temple 32.8% 21.7% 11.1%
Wm & Mary 32.7% 22.4% 10.3%
St Marys 43.1% 33.5% 9.6%
Bucknell 19.8% 10.3% 9.6%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
NC State 23.9% 55.6% -31.7%
Harvard 31.2% 50.2% -18.9%
Washington 13.0% 29.5% -16.5%
BYU 51.0% 64.5% -13.6%
Iowa 61.2% 74.2% -13.0%
Old Dominion 53.9% 65.7% -11.8%
Indiana 70.1% 81.6% -11.4%
Geo Wshgtn 39.4% 50.7% -11.4%
Syracuse 21.1% 32.3% -11.1%
Illinois 26.9% 37.8% -10.8%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Tulsa 71.1% 18.4% 52.8%
LSU 65.8% 17.6% 48.2%
Indiana 70.1% 31.5% 38.7%
Colorado St 64.0% 31.6% 32.4%
Georgetown 86.4% 55.1% 31.2%
Georgia 74.7% 44.2% 30.4%
Stanford 90.8% 61.9% 28.9%
Texas A&M 42.5% 15.3% 27.2%
Providence 84.0% 57.4% 26.6%
Albany 40.3% 15.7% 24.6%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Illinois 26.9% 65.6% -38.6%
Old Dominion 53.9% 88.1% -34.2%
S Carolina 4.6% 38.1% -33.6%
SC Upstate 16.9% 50.1% -33.2%
Temple 32.8% 64.5% -31.8%
Syracuse 21.1% 51.5% -30.4%
BYU 51.0% 80.4% -29.5%
Minnesota 4.3% 33.3% -29.1%
Florida 54.2% 83.0% -28.9%
Connecticut 49.1% 76.7% -27.5%