NCAA Bracket Predictions Trends

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Odds To Win Championship

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Arizona 9.8% 8.7% 1.1%
Utah 3.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Duke 9.1% 9.0% 0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Kentucky 31.9% 32.6% -0.6%
Gonzaga 6.1% 6.5% -0.4%
Michigan St 0.5% 0.7% -0.2%
Wisconsin 9.4% 9.6% -0.2%
Virginia 7.5% 7.6% -0.1%
Villanova 5.1% 5.3% -0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Virginia 7.5% 6.5% 1.0%
Arizona 9.8% 8.8% 1.0%
Villanova 5.1% 4.4% 0.8%
Gonzaga 6.1% 5.6% 0.5%
Baylor 0.8% 0.5% 0.4%
Kentucky 31.9% 31.7% 0.3%
Utah 3.4% 3.3% 0.2%
W Virginia 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Wisconsin 9.4% 11.1% -1.7%
Kansas 2.2% 2.8% -0.5%
Ohio State 3.0% 3.5% -0.5%
N Carolina 2.1% 2.5% -0.5%
Duke 9.1% 9.5% -0.4%
Louisville 1.6% 1.8% -0.3%
Texas 0.2% 0.4% -0.2%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 9.8% 7.5% 2.3%
Villanova 5.1% 3.0% 2.1%
Utah 3.4% 2.4% 1.0%
Kentucky 31.9% 31.1% 0.8%
Iowa State 1.4% 0.8% 0.6%
Duke 9.1% 8.5% 0.6%
Baylor 0.8% 0.4% 0.4%
Wichita St 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Michigan St 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 1.6% 3.6% -2.0%
Wisconsin 9.4% 11.0% -1.6%
Virginia 7.5% 8.9% -1.4%
N Carolina 2.1% 3.1% -1.0%
Ohio State 3.0% 3.5% -0.5%
Gonzaga 6.1% 6.6% -0.5%
Kansas 2.2% 2.5% -0.3%
Notre Dame 0.5% 0.8% -0.3%
VCU 0.2% 0.4% -0.2%
W Virginia 0.4% 0.5% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Arizona 19.0% 17.4% 1.6%
Utah 7.8% 6.4% 1.4%
Ohio State 6.7% 6.5% 0.2%
Duke 18.0% 17.9% 0.1%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Gonzaga 13.5% 14.3% -0.9%
Michigan St 1.5% 2.2% -0.7%
Kentucky 44.2% 44.7% -0.5%
Villanova 11.9% 12.1% -0.2%
Wisconsin 18.2% 18.4% -0.2%
Virginia 16.2% 16.4% -0.2%
Kansas 5.9% 6.0% -0.1%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Virginia 16.2% 14.5% 1.7%
Arizona 19.0% 17.5% 1.6%
Villanova 11.9% 10.4% 1.5%
Gonzaga 13.5% 12.2% 1.3%
Baylor 2.6% 1.6% 1.1%
W Virginia 1.3% 0.8% 0.5%
Iowa 0.7% 0.4% 0.3%
Kentucky 44.2% 43.9% 0.3%
Maryland 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
NC State 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Wisconsin 18.2% 21.1% -2.9%
Kansas 5.9% 7.1% -1.2%
Ohio State 6.7% 7.7% -1.0%
N Carolina 5.0% 6.0% -1.0%
Duke 18.0% 18.6% -0.6%
Louisville 4.2% 4.8% -0.6%
Texas 0.8% 1.3% -0.5%
Notre Dame 1.7% 1.9% -0.3%
Georgetown 0.8% 1.0% -0.2%
Illinois 0.1% 0.3% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Villanova 11.9% 7.5% 4.4%
Arizona 19.0% 15.7% 3.3%
Utah 7.8% 5.9% 1.9%
Iowa State 3.9% 2.4% 1.5%
Duke 18.0% 16.8% 1.2%
Baylor 2.6% 1.5% 1.1%
Wichita St 2.2% 1.5% 0.7%
Kentucky 44.2% 43.6% 0.6%
Michigan St 1.5% 1.2% 0.3%
NC State 0.4% 0.1% 0.3%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 4.2% 8.3% -4.1%
Wisconsin 18.2% 21.1% -2.9%
Virginia 16.2% 18.5% -2.3%
N Carolina 5.0% 7.2% -2.2%
Ohio State 6.7% 7.6% -1.0%
Kansas 5.9% 6.7% -0.8%
Notre Dame 1.7% 2.5% -0.8%
VCU 0.8% 1.4% -0.6%
Florida 0.0% 0.5% -0.5%
W Virginia 1.3% 1.7% -0.4%

Odds To Make Final 4

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Arizona 34.6% 32.3% 2.3%
Utah 16.4% 14.1% 2.2%
S Methodist 2.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Duke 33.4% 33.1% 0.3%
Ohio State 13.4% 13.1% 0.2%
BYU 1.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Stanford 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Michigan St 4.2% 5.9% -1.6%
Gonzaga 26.8% 28.0% -1.3%
Kentucky 59.8% 60.1% -0.3%
Villanova 25.1% 25.4% -0.3%
Kansas 14.0% 14.2% -0.2%
Virginia 31.2% 31.3% -0.2%
Georgetown 2.7% 2.8% -0.2%
W Virginia 4.0% 4.1% -0.1%
Iowa 2.2% 2.4% -0.1%
VCU 2.8% 2.9% -0.1%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Gonzaga 26.8% 24.0% 2.7%
Baylor 7.3% 4.8% 2.5%
Villanova 25.1% 22.8% 2.4%
Virginia 31.2% 28.9% 2.2%
Arizona 34.6% 32.5% 2.2%
W Virginia 4.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Iowa 2.2% 1.3% 0.9%
Maryland 2.9% 2.0% 0.9%
NC State 1.4% 0.6% 0.8%
Georgia 0.7% 0.3% 0.4%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Wisconsin 32.6% 36.8% -4.2%
Kansas 14.0% 16.3% -2.2%
N Carolina 11.2% 13.2% -2.0%
Ohio State 13.4% 15.2% -1.9%
Texas 2.1% 3.6% -1.5%
Louisville 10.2% 11.1% -0.9%
Duke 33.4% 34.2% -0.9%
Illinois 0.4% 1.1% -0.7%
Notre Dame 5.0% 5.7% -0.7%
Georgetown 2.7% 3.3% -0.6%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Villanova 25.1% 17.2% 7.9%
Arizona 34.6% 30.7% 4.0%
Iowa State 9.8% 6.6% 3.2%
Utah 16.4% 13.4% 2.9%
Baylor 7.3% 4.6% 2.7%
Duke 33.4% 31.3% 2.0%
Wichita St 6.3% 4.7% 1.6%
Gonzaga 26.8% 25.5% 1.2%
NC State 1.4% 0.2% 1.1%
Michigan St 4.2% 3.3% 0.9%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 10.2% 17.7% -7.5%
Wisconsin 32.6% 37.1% -4.5%
N Carolina 11.2% 15.3% -4.1%
Virginia 31.2% 34.0% -2.9%
Kansas 14.0% 16.3% -2.3%
Ohio State 13.4% 15.4% -2.0%
Notre Dame 5.0% 6.9% -1.8%
VCU 2.8% 4.5% -1.7%
Florida 0.1% 1.6% -1.5%
Texas 2.1% 3.3% -1.2%

Odds To Make Elite 8

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Utah 32.5% 29.3% 3.3%
Arizona 56.3% 54.4% 2.0%
S Methodist 7.0% 6.1% 0.9%
BYU 3.3% 2.7% 0.6%
Stanford 2.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Ohio State 24.8% 24.4% 0.3%
Arkansas 9.4% 9.1% 0.3%
St Marys 0.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Oklahoma 27.8% 27.5% 0.3%
Duke 55.3% 55.1% 0.2%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Michigan St 10.8% 14.2% -3.5%
Gonzaga 49.1% 50.1% -0.9%
Maryland 9.6% 9.9% -0.4%
Georgetown 8.0% 8.4% -0.4%
Iowa 6.5% 6.8% -0.3%
Notre Dame 13.2% 13.4% -0.3%
Xavier 5.6% 5.8% -0.3%
N Carolina 22.4% 22.7% -0.3%
Kansas 33.7% 33.9% -0.2%
Virginia 52.8% 53.1% -0.2%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Baylor 19.3% 13.1% 6.2%
W Virginia 11.2% 7.9% 3.3%
Maryland 9.6% 6.9% 2.6%
Villanova 47.2% 44.7% 2.6%
NC State 4.6% 2.2% 2.4%
Iowa 6.5% 4.1% 2.4%
Virginia 52.8% 50.7% 2.2%
Gonzaga 49.1% 47.0% 2.1%
Arizona 56.3% 54.6% 1.7%
Georgia 2.9% 1.3% 1.6%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
N Carolina 22.4% 26.0% -3.6%
Texas 5.2% 8.8% -3.6%
Kansas 33.7% 36.8% -3.1%
Wisconsin 55.6% 58.5% -2.9%
Ohio State 24.8% 27.7% -2.9%
Illinois 1.3% 3.5% -2.3%
Notre Dame 13.2% 15.1% -1.9%
Utah 32.5% 34.1% -1.6%
Georgetown 8.0% 9.5% -1.5%
Florida 0.3% 1.7% -1.4%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Villanova 47.2% 37.0% 10.3%
Iowa State 24.3% 17.1% 7.1%
Baylor 19.3% 13.0% 6.4%
Arizona 56.3% 52.5% 3.9%
NC State 4.6% 0.9% 3.8%
Utah 32.5% 28.9% 3.6%
Wichita St 16.5% 13.4% 3.1%
S Methodist 7.0% 4.4% 2.6%
Arkansas 9.4% 7.0% 2.4%
Maryland 9.6% 7.2% 2.4%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 22.1% 36.2% -14.0%
N Carolina 22.4% 29.8% -7.4%
VCU 8.6% 13.2% -4.6%
Florida 0.3% 4.6% -4.3%
Notre Dame 13.2% 17.3% -4.2%
Ohio State 24.8% 28.5% -3.7%
Cincinnati 2.2% 5.5% -3.3%
Texas 5.2% 8.3% -3.1%
Wisconsin 55.6% 58.2% -2.6%
Virginia 52.8% 55.4% -2.6%

Odds To Make Sweet 16

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
S Methodist 25.0% 20.5% 4.4%
Utah 63.7% 59.7% 4.0%
BYU 9.4% 8.0% 1.4%
Arizona 76.8% 75.4% 1.4%
Stanford 6.9% 5.6% 1.3%
St Marys 2.7% 1.5% 1.3%
Arkansas 31.3% 30.1% 1.2%
LSU 9.5% 8.6% 0.9%
Louisville 50.3% 49.5% 0.8%
Georgia 9.8% 9.2% 0.6%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Michigan St 23.7% 33.1% -9.5%
Georgetown 21.3% 22.2% -0.8%
Georgia St 3.9% 4.8% -0.8%
Xavier 15.5% 16.3% -0.7%
Colorado St 3.8% 4.4% -0.7%
UCLA 5.0% 5.6% -0.6%
Notre Dame 36.2% 36.8% -0.6%
Memphis 1.1% 1.7% -0.6%
Virginia 73.8% 74.3% -0.5%
Iowa 15.6% 16.1% -0.5%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Baylor 48.7% 36.4% 12.2%
W Virginia 31.5% 21.3% 10.2%
Maryland 33.6% 24.3% 9.3%
NC State 12.6% 6.4% 6.2%
Georgia 9.8% 4.2% 5.6%
S Methodist 25.0% 19.6% 5.4%
Iowa 15.6% 10.3% 5.3%
LSU 9.5% 4.2% 5.3%
Arkansas 31.3% 27.1% 4.1%
Oregon 5.7% 1.7% 4.0%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
N Carolina 42.7% 53.2% -10.5%
Ohio State 41.1% 48.3% -7.2%
Texas 12.7% 19.5% -6.8%
Illinois 3.5% 9.2% -5.8%
Mississippi 9.7% 14.4% -4.8%
Georgetown 21.3% 25.8% -4.4%
Notre Dame 36.2% 40.5% -4.4%
Florida 1.0% 5.0% -4.0%
Oklahoma St 14.5% 18.4% -3.8%
VCU 26.9% 30.5% -3.6%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Baylor 48.7% 34.6% 14.1%
Iowa State 54.5% 41.3% 13.1%
Maryland 33.6% 21.9% 11.7%
S Methodist 25.0% 14.2% 10.8%
Arkansas 31.3% 21.0% 10.3%
NC State 12.6% 2.9% 9.7%
LSU 9.5% 3.1% 6.4%
Utah 63.7% 57.7% 6.0%
Wichita St 45.0% 39.0% 6.0%
Villanova 70.0% 64.7% 5.3%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
N Carolina 42.7% 57.8% -15.1%
Louisville 50.3% 64.5% -14.2%
Cincinnati 8.5% 21.2% -12.6%
VCU 26.9% 37.8% -10.9%
Florida 1.0% 11.5% -10.5%
Ohio State 41.1% 51.1% -10.0%
Texas 12.7% 19.1% -6.4%
Notre Dame 36.2% 42.3% -6.1%
Butler 28.0% 33.4% -5.4%
Seton Hall 0.1% 4.1% -4.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 32

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
St Marys 10.5% 5.7% 4.8%
S Methodist 61.8% 57.5% 4.3%
BYU 23.6% 19.8% 3.8%
Stanford 22.8% 19.1% 3.8%
LSU 32.3% 29.8% 2.4%
Utah 89.4% 87.6% 1.8%
Georgia 37.2% 35.6% 1.6%
WI-Grn Bay 10.4% 8.9% 1.5%
Mississippi 35.7% 34.3% 1.4%
LA Tech 7.5% 6.2% 1.4%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Michigan St 57.3% 67.9% -10.7%
Colorado St 15.9% 18.6% -2.6%
Memphis 3.3% 5.5% -2.2%
Georgia St 12.1% 14.2% -2.1%
Xavier 46.0% 48.2% -2.1%
St Johns 25.7% 27.7% -2.0%
UCLA 18.0% 19.9% -1.9%
TX El Paso 5.5% 7.3% -1.8%
Miami (FL) 8.3% 9.7% -1.4%
Georgetown 58.3% 59.2% -0.9%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
NC State 41.9% 21.7% 20.2%
Georgia 37.2% 17.3% 19.9%
Oregon 27.5% 7.9% 19.6%
LSU 32.3% 17.0% 15.3%
W Virginia 68.2% 55.7% 12.5%
Iowa 44.1% 31.6% 12.5%
Baylor 82.3% 72.5% 9.8%
Maryland 71.0% 61.9% 9.1%
Pittsburgh 15.8% 7.9% 7.9%
Texas A&M 27.4% 20.7% 6.8%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Illinois 10.2% 28.4% -18.2%
Texas 26.7% 44.6% -17.9%
Mississippi 35.7% 46.5% -10.8%
Florida 2.1% 11.9% -9.8%
Dayton 17.0% 26.6% -9.6%
Yale 5.6% 13.2% -7.6%
Temple 18.0% 25.3% -7.3%
Oklahoma St 46.4% 53.4% -7.0%
Ohio State 72.8% 79.6% -6.8%
Colorado St 15.9% 22.2% -6.2%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
NC State 41.9% 9.0% 32.9%
Oregon 27.5% 6.6% 20.8%
LSU 32.3% 13.9% 18.3%
S Methodist 61.8% 46.9% 14.9%
St Johns 25.7% 11.4% 14.3%
Pittsburgh 15.8% 1.7% 14.1%
Davidson 26.8% 12.8% 13.9%
Maryland 71.0% 57.2% 13.8%
Arkansas 68.1% 55.7% 12.5%
Baylor 82.3% 70.3% 12.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Florida 2.1% 31.2% -29.2%
Cincinnati 35.7% 57.8% -22.0%
Texas 26.7% 43.9% -17.2%
Seton Hall 0.4% 17.1% -16.7%
Stanford 22.8% 35.3% -12.4%
Geo Wshgtn 2.1% 13.3% -11.2%
Yale 5.6% 16.3% -10.7%
VCU 63.9% 74.2% -10.3%
Louisville 81.3% 90.2% -8.9%
N Carolina 77.2% 85.7% -8.5%

Odds To Make Round Of 64

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
St Marys 31.0% 18.2% 12.8%
BYU 46.6% 39.6% 7.0%
Stanford 45.5% 39.2% 6.3%
LSU 63.6% 59.4% 4.2%
High Point 17.9% 13.9% 4.0%
Purdue 53.5% 49.6% 4.0%
WI-Grn Bay 40.0% 36.4% 3.6%
LA Tech 28.4% 25.4% 3.0%
Georgia 76.5% 73.6% 2.9%
Mississippi 74.1% 71.6% 2.5%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Michigan St 87.5% 95.5% -8.0%
Colorado St 43.5% 50.4% -6.9%
Memphis 11.2% 17.2% -6.0%
Georgia St 51.5% 56.5% -5.0%
UCLA 44.4% 48.9% -4.4%
Coastal Car 40.3% 44.7% -4.4%
TX El Paso 22.3% 26.4% -4.1%
St Johns 60.5% 64.6% -4.0%
Xavier 80.4% 83.5% -3.0%
Miami (FL) 19.3% 22.2% -2.9%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Oregon 69.2% 22.1% 47.1%
Georgia 76.5% 38.1% 38.4%
NC State 79.9% 44.7% 35.2%
LSU 63.6% 36.3% 27.3%
N Florida 56.5% 34.3% 22.2%
Pittsburgh 43.3% 22.2% 21.1%
Iowa 74.4% 56.8% 17.6%
Tulsa 76.2% 59.3% 16.8%
Texas A&M 65.0% 50.9% 14.1%
St Johns 60.5% 48.2% 12.3%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Illinois 19.7% 51.8% -32.1%
Texas 45.5% 71.1% -25.6%
Yale 21.7% 45.9% -24.2%
Dayton 43.1% 64.6% -21.5%
Fla Gulf Cst 19.6% 39.6% -20.0%
WI-Grn Bay 40.0% 59.1% -19.1%
Florida 4.2% 22.7% -18.5%
Valparaiso 28.7% 45.4% -16.7%
Temple 61.5% 77.7% -16.3%
Mississippi 74.1% 86.1% -12.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
NC State 79.9% 20.2% 59.8%
Oregon 69.2% 17.9% 51.4%
Pittsburgh 43.3% 5.0% 38.3%
St Johns 60.5% 25.5% 35.0%
Harvard 73.3% 41.3% 32.0%
LSU 63.6% 31.8% 31.8%
Davidson 59.7% 29.3% 30.3%
Texas A&M 65.0% 38.8% 26.2%
Purdue 53.5% 32.6% 21.0%
N Florida 56.5% 36.3% 20.2%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Florida 4.2% 54.0% -49.8%
Seton Hall 1.3% 40.5% -39.2%
Yale 21.7% 56.0% -34.3%
Geo Wshgtn 6.6% 33.1% -26.5%
Texas 45.5% 69.1% -23.6%
Memphis 11.2% 33.4% -22.1%
Stanford 45.5% 64.3% -18.8%
Buffalo 39.7% 58.1% -18.4%
Old Dominion 33.4% 51.3% -17.9%
Cincinnati 81.5% 97.1% -15.6%