NCAA Bracket Predictions Trends

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Odds To Win Championship

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Duke 10.8% 9.3% 1.5%
Notre Dame 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Louisville 1.5% 2.0% -0.5%
Arizona 10.1% 10.6% -0.5%
Kentucky 31.2% 31.4% -0.2%
Virginia 6.9% 7.0% -0.2%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Duke 10.8% 9.0% 1.9%
Arizona 10.1% 8.7% 1.4%
N Carolina 2.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Notre Dame 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Utah 2.9% 2.6% 0.2%
Villanova 5.5% 5.3% 0.2%
Iowa 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Wisconsin 9.7% 9.6% 0.1%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Gonzaga 4.9% 6.5% -1.7%
Kentucky 31.2% 32.6% -1.4%
Virginia 6.9% 7.6% -0.7%
Oklahoma 1.5% 1.9% -0.3%
Michigan St 0.5% 0.7% -0.2%
Ohio State 2.8% 2.9% -0.2%
Louisville 1.5% 1.6% -0.2%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 10.1% 6.7% 3.4%
Kentucky 31.2% 28.7% 2.5%
Villanova 5.5% 3.7% 1.8%
Duke 10.8% 9.7% 1.1%
Iowa State 1.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Baylor 0.9% 0.5% 0.4%
Wichita St 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Notre Dame 0.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Michigan St 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Iowa 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Odds To Win Championship -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Gonzaga 4.9% 7.0% -2.1%
Louisville 1.5% 3.4% -1.9%
Virginia 6.9% 8.6% -1.7%
Ohio State 2.8% 3.9% -1.1%
Oklahoma 1.5% 2.5% -1.0%
Wisconsin 9.7% 10.5% -0.8%
Utah 2.9% 3.4% -0.5%
N Carolina 2.9% 3.4% -0.4%
Kansas 2.3% 2.6% -0.3%
Texas 0.3% 0.5% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Duke 20.4% 18.3% 2.2%
Notre Dame 2.4% 1.8% 0.6%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Louisville 3.9% 5.1% -1.2%
Arizona 19.9% 20.6% -0.7%
Virginia 14.8% 15.1% -0.3%
Wichita St 2.3% 2.4% -0.1%
Oklahoma 4.2% 4.4% -0.1%
Kentucky 43.4% 43.5% -0.1%
LSU 0.1% 0.2% -0.1%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Duke 20.4% 17.9% 2.5%
Arizona 19.9% 17.4% 2.5%
N Carolina 6.8% 5.1% 1.6%
Notre Dame 2.4% 1.7% 0.7%
Villanova 12.7% 12.1% 0.7%
Wisconsin 18.8% 18.4% 0.4%
Iowa 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
Utah 6.8% 6.4% 0.4%
BYU 0.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Kansas 6.3% 6.0% 0.3%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Gonzaga 10.7% 14.3% -3.6%
Virginia 14.8% 16.4% -1.5%
Kentucky 43.4% 44.7% -1.3%
Oklahoma 4.2% 5.0% -0.7%
Michigan St 1.5% 2.2% -0.6%
Louisville 3.9% 4.3% -0.4%
Ohio State 6.2% 6.5% -0.3%
VCU 0.6% 0.8% -0.2%
W Virginia 1.1% 1.3% -0.2%
Butler 0.9% 1.1% -0.2%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 19.9% 13.9% 6.0%
Villanova 12.7% 8.9% 3.8%
Kentucky 43.4% 40.9% 2.5%
Duke 20.4% 18.5% 1.9%
Baylor 2.8% 1.6% 1.2%
Iowa State 3.8% 2.6% 1.2%
Wichita St 2.3% 1.6% 0.7%
Notre Dame 2.4% 1.8% 0.6%
Michigan St 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
Iowa 1.1% 0.6% 0.5%

Odds To Make Title Game -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 3.9% 7.8% -3.9%
Gonzaga 10.7% 14.4% -3.7%
Virginia 14.8% 17.8% -3.0%
Ohio State 6.2% 8.3% -2.0%
Oklahoma 4.2% 6.2% -1.9%
Wisconsin 18.8% 19.8% -1.1%
Utah 6.8% 7.8% -1.0%
N Carolina 6.8% 7.6% -0.9%
Texas 0.8% 1.5% -0.7%
Oklahoma St 0.3% 0.8% -0.5%

Odds To Make Final 4

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Duke 36.2% 33.8% 2.5%
Notre Dame 7.0% 5.3% 1.7%
Providence 1.6% 1.3% 0.3%
St Johns 0.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Wisconsin 33.9% 33.7% 0.2%
Cincinnati 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Gonzaga 21.0% 20.9% 0.1%
VCU 2.1% 2.0% 0.1%
San Diego St 1.0% 0.8% 0.1%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Louisville 9.4% 11.7% -2.3%
Arizona 35.7% 36.5% -0.8%
LSU 0.3% 0.8% -0.5%
Virginia 29.5% 29.8% -0.3%
Wichita St 6.7% 6.9% -0.3%
Baylor 7.8% 7.9% -0.2%
Oklahoma 10.5% 10.7% -0.2%
Kentucky 59.4% 59.6% -0.1%
Utah 14.6% 14.7% -0.1%
Purdue 0.5% 0.6% -0.1%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Arizona 35.7% 32.3% 3.4%
Duke 36.2% 33.1% 3.1%
N Carolina 14.1% 11.3% 2.9%
Notre Dame 7.0% 5.2% 1.9%
Wisconsin 33.9% 32.7% 1.2%
Iowa 3.5% 2.4% 1.1%
BYU 2.0% 0.9% 1.1%
Villanova 26.5% 25.4% 1.1%
Kansas 15.2% 14.2% 1.0%
Utah 14.6% 14.1% 0.4%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Gonzaga 21.0% 28.0% -7.0%
Virginia 29.5% 31.3% -1.8%
Michigan St 4.3% 5.9% -1.6%
Oklahoma 10.5% 11.8% -1.3%
Louisville 9.4% 10.3% -0.9%
VCU 2.1% 2.9% -0.8%
Kentucky 59.4% 60.1% -0.7%
W Virginia 3.5% 4.1% -0.6%
Indiana 0.4% 1.0% -0.6%
Butler 3.0% 3.4% -0.5%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 35.7% 27.5% 8.2%
Villanova 26.5% 19.8% 6.7%
Duke 36.2% 33.2% 3.0%
Baylor 7.8% 4.9% 2.9%
Kentucky 59.4% 56.7% 2.7%
Iowa State 9.5% 7.0% 2.5%
Wichita St 6.7% 4.9% 1.8%
Notre Dame 7.0% 5.5% 1.5%
Michigan St 4.3% 2.8% 1.5%
Iowa 3.5% 2.0% 1.5%

Odds To Make Final 4 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 9.4% 16.5% -7.1%
Gonzaga 21.0% 28.0% -7.0%
Ohio State 12.8% 16.4% -3.6%
Oklahoma 10.5% 14.0% -3.6%
Virginia 29.5% 32.9% -3.4%
Utah 14.6% 16.4% -1.9%
Texas 2.3% 4.1% -1.8%
N Carolina 14.1% 15.9% -1.8%
Oklahoma St 1.2% 2.8% -1.6%
Florida 0.1% 1.4% -1.3%

Odds To Make Elite 8

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Notre Dame 18.4% 14.1% 4.4%
Duke 58.0% 55.5% 2.5%
Providence 6.4% 5.2% 1.2%
St Johns 3.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Cincinnati 3.0% 2.4% 0.6%
Oregon 2.5% 2.1% 0.4%
San Diego St 3.6% 3.2% 0.4%
Miami (FL) 0.7% 0.4% 0.4%
VCU 6.9% 6.5% 0.3%
Oklahoma St 4.1% 3.8% 0.3%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Louisville 20.4% 25.5% -5.2%
LSU 1.4% 3.2% -1.9%
Wichita St 18.0% 18.8% -0.7%
Arizona 56.9% 57.5% -0.6%
Baylor 20.3% 20.8% -0.5%
Purdue 1.8% 2.3% -0.5%
Kentucky 75.2% 75.5% -0.3%
Pittsburgh 0.2% 0.5% -0.3%
Utah 28.1% 28.4% -0.3%
Oklahoma 24.2% 24.4% -0.3%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Notre Dame 18.4% 13.4% 5.0%
N Carolina 26.9% 22.7% 4.2%
BYU 6.1% 2.7% 3.4%
Iowa 9.9% 6.8% 3.1%
Duke 58.0% 55.1% 3.0%
Arizona 56.9% 54.4% 2.5%
Kansas 35.8% 33.9% 1.8%
Wichita St 18.0% 16.4% 1.6%
St Johns 3.5% 1.9% 1.6%
Providence 6.4% 5.1% 1.3%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Gonzaga 45.1% 50.1% -5.0%
Oklahoma 24.2% 27.5% -3.4%
Michigan St 11.1% 14.2% -3.1%
Virginia 51.1% 53.1% -2.0%
VCU 6.9% 8.8% -1.9%
Indiana 1.6% 3.4% -1.8%
Louisville 20.4% 22.2% -1.8%
W Virginia 9.9% 11.4% -1.5%
Kentucky 75.2% 76.6% -1.4%
San Diego St 3.6% 4.8% -1.2%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Arizona 56.9% 49.6% 7.3%
Baylor 20.3% 13.3% 7.0%
Iowa State 24.1% 17.4% 6.7%
Villanova 47.8% 41.1% 6.7%
Wichita St 18.0% 13.0% 5.0%
Michigan St 11.1% 7.2% 3.9%
Notre Dame 18.4% 14.6% 3.9%
BYU 6.1% 2.5% 3.6%
Iowa 9.9% 6.3% 3.6%
NC State 4.3% 0.7% 3.6%

Odds To Make Elite 8 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 20.4% 34.1% -13.7%
Oklahoma 24.2% 30.8% -6.6%
Utah 28.1% 34.3% -6.2%
Ohio State 24.2% 29.6% -5.4%
Gonzaga 45.1% 50.4% -5.4%
Oklahoma St 4.1% 8.6% -4.5%
Texas 5.8% 10.1% -4.3%
N Carolina 26.9% 30.8% -3.9%
Florida 0.3% 4.2% -3.8%
Virginia 51.1% 54.8% -3.7%

Odds To Make Sweet 16

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Notre Dame 48.0% 37.9% 10.1%
Providence 26.3% 21.7% 4.6%
Cincinnati 12.3% 9.4% 2.9%
St Johns 12.5% 9.7% 2.8%
Oregon 10.3% 8.3% 2.0%
Duke 77.7% 76.3% 1.5%
VCU 19.9% 18.5% 1.4%
Miami (FL) 2.6% 1.4% 1.2%
San Diego St 10.6% 9.8% 0.7%
Ohio State 40.4% 39.8% 0.6%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Louisville 45.0% 55.0% -9.9%
LSU 5.1% 12.8% -7.7%
Purdue 5.1% 6.6% -1.4%
Pittsburgh 0.8% 2.1% -1.3%
Wichita St 47.7% 48.7% -1.0%
Tulsa 3.7% 4.7% -1.0%
Arizona 76.8% 77.6% -0.8%
Kentucky 87.8% 88.4% -0.6%
Texas A&M 5.9% 6.5% -0.5%
Butler 24.5% 25.0% -0.5%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Notre Dame 48.0% 36.8% 11.3%
Iowa 25.3% 16.1% 9.2%
N Carolina 51.4% 42.4% 9.0%
BYU 14.9% 8.0% 6.8%
St Johns 12.5% 6.7% 5.8%
Providence 26.3% 21.0% 5.3%
Oregon 10.3% 5.6% 4.7%
Dayton 8.2% 4.1% 4.1%
Cincinnati 12.3% 8.3% 4.0%
Wichita St 47.7% 44.6% 3.0%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Michigan St 23.9% 33.1% -9.2%
VCU 19.9% 27.1% -7.2%
W Virginia 26.9% 31.9% -5.0%
Indiana 5.2% 9.8% -4.6%
Louisville 45.0% 49.5% -4.5%
San Diego St 10.6% 14.8% -4.2%
LSU 5.1% 8.6% -3.5%
Butler 24.5% 27.9% -3.4%
Xavier 12.9% 16.3% -3.4%
Oklahoma 54.3% 57.6% -3.3%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Baylor 50.4% 36.1% 14.3%
Maryland 33.3% 20.1% 13.3%
Iowa State 54.7% 42.1% 12.6%
Providence 26.3% 15.5% 10.8%
Wichita St 47.7% 36.9% 10.7%
NC State 12.2% 2.4% 9.8%
St Johns 12.5% 3.0% 9.5%
Notre Dame 48.0% 39.1% 8.9%
Oregon 10.3% 1.9% 8.4%
Iowa 25.3% 17.1% 8.2%

Odds To Make Sweet 16 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Louisville 45.0% 64.1% -19.1%
Oklahoma St 11.4% 26.1% -14.7%
Ohio State 40.4% 53.2% -12.7%
Florida 1.0% 10.5% -9.5%
Texas 14.0% 23.0% -9.0%
N Carolina 51.4% 60.2% -8.8%
VCU 19.9% 28.1% -8.2%
Stanford 2.6% 10.0% -7.4%
Oklahoma 54.3% 60.8% -6.6%
Butler 24.5% 30.9% -6.4%

Odds To Make Round Of 32

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Notre Dame 82.3% 73.3% 9.0%
Cincinnati 44.5% 36.9% 7.6%
St Johns 46.4% 39.2% 7.2%
Providence 64.7% 58.8% 5.9%
Oregon 42.5% 36.7% 5.8%
San Diego St 40.1% 35.2% 4.9%
Miami (FL) 9.6% 4.8% 4.7%
Colorado St 18.0% 15.7% 2.3%
Michigan St 59.5% 57.2% 2.2%
Richmond 6.3% 4.1% 2.1%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
LSU 19.6% 40.3% -20.7%
Louisville 77.8% 84.8% -7.0%
Pittsburgh 3.5% 10.1% -6.5%
Tulsa 20.7% 26.9% -6.2%
Purdue 17.7% 22.6% -4.9%
Texas A&M 20.8% 23.2% -2.5%
Temple 14.4% 16.0% -1.5%
Connecticut 14.5% 15.7% -1.2%
N Iowa 57.2% 58.2% -1.0%
Old Dominion 10.3% 11.3% -1.0%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
BYU 44.1% 19.8% 24.3%
St Johns 46.4% 27.7% 18.6%
Dayton 35.0% 17.0% 18.1%
Iowa 62.0% 44.9% 17.1%
Oregon 42.5% 27.0% 15.5%
Notre Dame 82.3% 72.1% 10.3%
Boise State 27.3% 17.4% 10.0%
Cincinnati 44.5% 35.4% 9.1%
Providence 64.7% 57.5% 7.3%
N Carolina 81.9% 76.9% 4.9%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Indiana 15.7% 32.1% -16.3%
Pittsburgh 3.5% 15.7% -12.1%
Stanford 7.4% 19.1% -11.6%
LSU 19.6% 29.8% -10.3%
Oklahoma St 37.1% 46.2% -9.1%
Michigan St 59.5% 67.9% -8.5%
Purdue 17.7% 26.0% -8.4%
San Diego St 40.1% 48.2% -8.2%
Xavier 40.3% 48.2% -7.9%
VCU 56.0% 63.7% -7.7%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
NC State 42.1% 7.1% 35.0%
St Johns 46.4% 12.0% 34.4%
Oregon 42.5% 9.5% 33.0%
BYU 44.1% 20.7% 23.4%
Michigan St 59.5% 40.0% 19.5%
Davidson 29.6% 13.4% 16.2%
Providence 64.7% 49.6% 15.1%
Maryland 71.3% 56.7% 14.6%
W Virginia 63.7% 51.0% 12.7%
Iowa 62.0% 49.5% 12.5%

Odds To Make Round Of 32 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Florida 2.2% 28.6% -26.4%
Stanford 7.4% 33.5% -26.1%
Oklahoma St 37.1% 63.0% -25.9%
Texas 29.3% 52.3% -23.0%
Indiana 15.7% 35.9% -20.1%
Illinois 11.1% 26.1% -15.0%
Temple 14.4% 28.6% -14.2%
Xavier 40.3% 52.8% -12.6%
Louisville 77.8% 89.9% -12.1%
Georgia 32.8% 44.1% -11.3%

Odds To Make Round Of 64

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Miami (FL) 23.1% 11.7% 11.4%
Cincinnati 93.9% 83.0% 10.9%
St Johns 96.9% 86.5% 10.3%
Oregon 97.1% 86.8% 10.3%
San Diego St 84.9% 75.0% 9.9%
Richmond 18.7% 12.7% 6.0%
Colorado St 48.9% 43.1% 5.8%
Oklahoma St 72.8% 67.2% 5.6%
St Fran (NY) 39.7% 35.2% 4.4%
St Fran (PA) 8.6% 4.4% 4.1%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
LSU 42.3% 76.3% -34.0%
Pittsburgh 10.5% 27.2% -16.7%
Tulsa 73.7% 86.5% -12.7%
Purdue 37.2% 45.7% -8.6%
Texas A&M 51.3% 55.8% -4.5%
Temple 50.9% 55.2% -4.2%
Connecticut 41.7% 43.9% -2.3%
Old Dominion 32.8% 34.9% -2.2%
Coastal Car 40.9% 42.6% -1.7%
Albany 43.1% 44.5% -1.4%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
BYU 80.9% 39.6% 41.3%
Dayton 81.6% 43.1% 38.5%
St Johns 96.9% 64.6% 32.3%
Oregon 97.1% 68.1% 28.9%
Boise State 66.8% 44.6% 22.2%
Iowa 96.6% 75.2% 21.4%
Valparaiso 46.2% 28.0% 18.2%
St Fran (NY) 39.7% 23.4% 16.3%
Cincinnati 93.9% 80.8% 13.1%
Buffalo 52.1% 40.6% 11.5%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Pittsburgh 10.5% 42.6% -32.1%
Indiana 34.5% 65.8% -31.3%
Stanford 15.7% 39.2% -23.4%
Cleveland St 6.7% 25.2% -18.5%
LSU 42.3% 59.4% -17.1%
Iona 47.9% 64.5% -16.6%
UCLA 32.9% 48.9% -16.0%
Oklahoma St 72.8% 86.6% -13.9%
Purdue 37.2% 49.6% -12.4%
Texas A&M 51.3% 63.0% -11.7%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Oregon 97.1% 25.6% 71.5%
St Johns 96.9% 27.6% 69.3%
NC State 83.4% 15.7% 67.8%
BYU 80.9% 41.1% 39.8%
Davidson 66.4% 31.3% 35.1%
Michigan St 92.0% 63.3% 28.7%
Dayton 81.6% 54.4% 27.2%
Texas A&M 51.3% 28.1% 23.2%
Boise State 66.8% 43.7% 23.1%
Buffalo 52.1% 33.3% 18.8%

Odds To Make Round Of 64 -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Stanford 15.7% 63.8% -48.1%
Florida 4.5% 50.0% -45.5%
Indiana 34.5% 72.3% -37.8%
Temple 50.9% 82.0% -31.0%
Texas 50.6% 80.6% -30.0%
Illinois 21.9% 47.3% -25.3%
Oklahoma St 72.8% 97.7% -24.9%
UCLA 32.9% 54.5% -21.6%
Old Dominion 32.8% 52.2% -19.5%
Toledo 19.0% 37.9% -18.9%