Louisville Cardinals NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

  • Atlantic Coast Conference teams:
  • All teams:
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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

11.7%

At Large Bid

88.3%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (26.4%)

Final Four

10.2%

NCAA Champs

1.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.6%
22 96.8%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 2.4% 2.5%
3 20.4% 2.1%
4 26.4% 1.7%
5 20.8% 1.4%
6 13.5% 1.3%
7 8.0% 1.1%
8 4.4% 0.9%
9 2.3% 0.8%
10 1.1% 0.8%
11 0.5% 0.5%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.