Louisville Cardinals NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.5%

Automatic Bid

13.9%

At Large Bid

85.5%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (23.2%)

Final Four

14.9%

NCAA Champs

2.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.1%
22 90.7%
21 64.6%
20 25.6%
19 2.6%
OVERALL 99.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.4% 6.1%
2 15.9% 4.5%
3 23.2% 3.4%
4 20.4% 2.6%
5 14.8% 1.9%
6 9.2% 1.6%
7 5.1% 1.3%
8 2.9% 1.2%
9 1.8% 0.8%
10 1.2% 1.0%
11 0.8% 0.6%
12 0.5% 0.6%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.