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Louisville Cardinals NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

24.2%

At Large Bid

75.7%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (29.3%)

Final Four

27.7%

NCAA Champs

7.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.3%
22 95.1%
21 80.4%
20 22.9%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 29.3% 12.4%
2 26.9% 7.2%
3 18.5% 4.7%
4 11.9% 3.4%
5 6.9% 2.6%
6 3.4% 2.0%
7 1.3% 1.7%
8 0.6% 1.2%
9 0.4% 0.8%
10 0.3% 0.9%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.