Oregon Ducks NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

21.3%

Automatic Bid

2.6%

At Large Bid

18.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (3.0%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 98.3%
23 83.4%
22 47.2%
21 12.3%
20 2.5%
19 0.4%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
16 0.3%
OVERALL 21.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.0%
6 1.2% 0.0%
7 2.3% 0.0%
8 2.9% 0.0%
9 3.0% 0.0%
10 3.0% 0.0%
11 2.9% 0.0%
12 2.8% 0.0%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.