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Oregon Ducks NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View Oregon bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

47.8%

Automatic Bid

6.1%

At Large Bid

41.7%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (6.2%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.8%
25 98.9%
24 90.1%
23 70.4%
22 37.4%
21 12.1%
20 2.2%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.6%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 47.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.1% 1.1%
2 2.6% 0.4%
3 3.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 0.1%
5 3.0% 0.1%
6 3.2% 0.1%
7 5.7% 0.1%
8 6.2% 0.0%
9 5.5% 0.0%
10 4.6% 0.0%
11 3.8% 0.0%
12 3.2% 0.0%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.