Elon University Phoenix NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

9.4%

Automatic Bid

9.3%

At Large Bid

0.1%

Most Likely Seed

#16 (3.0%)

Final Four

0.0%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 82.2%
25 56.0%
24 39.5%
23 36.3%
22 22.3%
21 15.2%
20 10.4%
19 6.0%
18 1.5%
17 0.3%
16 0.4%
OVERALL 9.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.0% -
6 0.0% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.9% 0.0%
14 2.1% 0.0%
15 2.9% 0.0%
16 3.0% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.