Southern Methodist Mustangs NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

  • American Athletic Conference teams:
  • All teams:
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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

31.7%

At Large Bid

68.2%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (22.8%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 99.1%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.4% 0.3%
3 4.8% 0.2%
4 14.3% 0.1%
5 22.8% 0.1%
6 21.4% 0.1%
7 15.1% 0.1%
8 9.5% 0.1%
9 5.8% 0.1%
10 3.3% 0.1%
11 1.7% 0.0%
12 0.7% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.