Southern Methodist Mustangs NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

97.3%

Automatic Bid

29.1%

At Large Bid

68.2%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (16.9%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.5%
22 91.9%
21 65.4%
20 13.9%
19 0.9%
OVERALL 97.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.2% 0.4%
3 6.2% 0.3%
4 13.1% 0.2%
5 16.9% 0.1%
6 16.3% 0.1%
7 12.9% 0.1%
8 9.1% 0.1%
9 6.7% 0.1%
10 5.3% 0.0%
11 4.5% 0.0%
12 3.7% 0.0%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.