Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

  • Southeastern Conference teams:
  • All teams:
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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

6.6%

At Large Bid

93.4%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (25.1%)

Final Four

3.0%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.1%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 1.7% 0.4%
3 14.2% 0.3%
4 25.1% 0.3%
5 23.2% 0.2%
6 15.5% 0.2%
7 9.3% 0.1%
8 5.4% 0.1%
9 2.9% 0.1%
10 1.5% 0.1%
11 0.7% 0.1%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.