Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

86.5%

Automatic Bid

3.9%

At Large Bid

82.6%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (12.1%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.2%
23 94.7%
22 74.2%
21 28.9%
20 3.0%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 86.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.6% 0.3%
3 6.1% 0.3%
4 9.5% 0.2%
5 10.4% 0.1%
6 11.3% 0.1%
7 12.1% 0.1%
8 11.4% 0.1%
9 9.3% 0.0%
10 6.8% 0.1%
11 4.6% 0.0%
12 2.7% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.