Texas Longhorns NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

90.2%

Automatic Bid

15.4%

At Large Bid

74.7%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (12.4%)

Final Four

6.3%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.4%
21 94.7%
20 71.8%
19 24.9%
18 2.0%
17 0.2%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 90.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.9% 2.4%
3 6.0% 1.8%
4 10.2% 1.3%
5 12.4% 1.0%
6 12.2% 0.9%
7 10.3% 0.7%
8 8.6% 0.5%
9 7.6% 0.5%
10 6.9% 0.5%
11 6.3% 0.4%
12 5.5% 0.3%
13 1.8% 0.2%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.