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Texas Longhorns NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

99.5%

Automatic Bid

32.7%

At Large Bid

66.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (23.9%)

Final Four

19.9%

NCAA Champs

4.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 99.0%
20 83.0%
19 42.3%
18 5.9%
17 0.1%
OVERALL 99.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 23.0% 8.2%
2 23.9% 4.6%
3 18.5% 2.9%
4 13.0% 2.0%
5 8.9% 1.4%
6 5.9% 1.2%
7 2.7% 1.0%
8 1.1% 0.5%
9 0.7% 0.6%
10 0.5% 0.4%
11 0.5% 0.3%
12 0.5% 0.3%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.